Forum logs for 30 Mar 2013
Saturday, 23 November, Year 11 d.Tr. | Author: Mircea Popescu
thestringpuller | ;;ticker | [00:00] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 1 @ 0.479 BTC [+] | [00:05] |
thestringpuller | $oix | [00:06] |
thestringpuller | !ticker ^oix | [00:06] |
assbot | Hell, ain't we about more fucked than a whore at closin' time, huh? | [00:06] |
thestringpuller | !ticker m ^oix | [00:06] |
assbot | [MPEX:^OIX] 1D: 0 / 0 / 0 (0 shares, 0 BTC), 7D: 66.95953589 / 85.06143152 / 85.06556611 (111084 shares, 22,108.25 BTC), 30D: 0 / 0 / 0 (0 shares, 0 BTC) | [00:06] |
mircea_popescu | MJR_III i don't really. | [00:07] |
jborkl | https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=80312.1080 | [00:07] |
mircea_popescu | ;;ticker | [00:07] |
KRS1 | lol@assbot | [00:07] |
KRS1 | is that his warning | [00:08] |
benkay | /join #chef | [00:08] |
thestringpuller | mircea_popescu: gribble is down | [00:10] |
thestringpuller | ;;gribble | [00:10] |
gribble | yes I am gribble. why do you keep bothering me? | [00:10] |
thestringpuller | ;;asks | [00:10] |
mircea_popescu | lolk | [00:10] |
thestringpuller | mircea_popescu you are working some magic... | [00:10] |
thestringpuller | sometimes I wonder who actually has more power, people like you, or the blokes at the bank... | [00:11] |
MJR_III | ;;calc 1+1 | [00:11] |
gribble | 2 | [00:11] |
MJR_III | gribble is working... | [00:11] |
mircea_popescu | i has no powar | [00:12] |
MJR_III | bitfinex is down i think | [00:13] |
smickles | ya know, i don't recall bitcoinica going down as often as ya'll say bitfinex goes down | [00:16] |
smickles | 'coinica really only went down once | [00:16] |
MJR_III | its back up | [00:16] |
MJR_III | i think it has to do with the cloudflare anti-dddos | [00:16] |
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jurov | so i just came from meeting about btc alternatives | [00:19] |
jurov | that changed into ppcoin sales pitch | [00:19] |
MJR_III | jurov: alt chains? | [00:19] |
jurov | yes | [00:19] |
smickles | jurov: what's so good about ppcoin? | [00:19] |
jurov | bitcoin is too power hungry, ppcoin is more ecological | [00:20] |
smickles | orly | [00:20] |
MJR_III | you've lost me there | [00:21] |
jurov | plus we received stern warning that moeny is not morally nutral | [00:21] |
MJR_III | if you find something that uses less power, more people will mine | [00:21] |
jurov | *neutral | [00:21] |
MJR_III | driving difficulty up further and using the same power | [00:21] |
jurov | so if we become suddenly rich, we shoudl thin about the outcome of our actions | [00:21] |
jurov | and ppcoin is not using difficulty | [00:22] |
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MJR_III | interesting | [00:22] |
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jurov | everyone who has enough coins*time can have a right to issue a block | [00:22] |
jurov | but it's not in effect yet, its mining normally until some time passes | [00:22] |
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jurov | for now i'm reserving my judgement, maybe buying some just in case | [00:24] |
MJR_III | while i rate all other cryptocurrencies chances as around 1% might be worth it to hold a basket of all of them, just in case | [00:26] |
smickles | no upper limit on ppcoin amounts either | [00:26] |
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jurov | that was mentioned too that he considers inflation as consequence of 2nd thermodynamic law and thus it should be allowed | [00:28] |
smickles | i feel like the proof-of-stake bit turns it into a game, get 51% of the coins and you win | [00:28] |
jurov | no, someone with older coins than you can issue blocks instead | [00:28] |
jurov | you have to wait with your 51% to get the right | [00:29] |
jurov | after receiving them | [00:29] |
smickles | but, wouldn't that mean they have to do nothing w/ their coins to maintain | [00:29] |
Bugpowder | I would love to short ripple | [00:29] |
jurov | yes, if you spend the coins, you lower your weight | [00:30] |
jurov | this actually would be motivation to hoard, hence inflation is necessary | [00:30] |
smickles | so, if someone gets anywhere near 50%, then people have to stop spending coins to protect it | [00:30] |
kakobrekla | lol | [00:31] |
MJR_III | while it may be an interesting and novel approach | [00:31] |
MJR_III | as with all the others i doubt it will gain the momentum it needs | [00:32] |
smickles | lol | [00:32] |
jurov | if someone gets anywhere near 50% *he* has to wait to be able to pull 51% attack, meanwhile others mine blocks and lower his part | [00:32] |
MJR_III | it would need to have a signifigant advantage | [00:32] |
smickles | take many massive loans, get near 50%, the claim you can't pay because you have to protect the network! | [00:33] |
jurov | you *can* pay | [00:33] |
jurov | but you can't use them as a proof of stake tomine | [00:33] |
MJR_III | bugpowder: what's stopping you? | [00:33] |
jurov | cuz all ur coins are new and shiiny | [00:33] |
MJR_III | in some ways this ruins the fungibility of the money though | [00:33] |
MJR_III | all coins are not equal | [00:34] |
jurov | and only older coins can be used as proof of stake to mine | [00:34] |
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jurov | well, actually i heard about it today first time, that's how i understood it | [00:34] |
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MJR_III | i just finished reading their white paper | [00:34] |
Bugpowder | where can I short ripple? | [00:35] |
MJR_III | bugpowder: just find someone willing to lend you some | [00:35] |
jurov | and all btc coins aren't equal too, as anyone who tried to spend new satoshidice outputs can attest | [00:35] |
MJR_III | jurov: because they haven't been verified yet? | [00:35] |
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Bugpowder | no cause they dusted | [00:36] |
jurov | een after they were verified, satoshi client defaults to higer txfee | [00:36] |
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jurov | you have to wait | [00:36] |
MJR_III | oh | [00:36] |
jurov | aside from that dusted consideration | [00:36] |
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Bugpowder | oh, here was that blog with the mining profit plots | [00:38] |
Bugpowder | http://organofcorti.blogspot.com | [00:38] |
jurov | anyway my peeve with them altcoins is they all use outdated satoshi codebase | [00:39] |
jurov | both litecoin and ppcoin are based on 0.6 | [00:39] |
jurov | while bitcoind was quite much refactored in 0.7/0.8 versions | [00:40] |
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jurov | causing simple merging impossible | [00:40] |
jurov | and boy, they are thrashy... | [00:40] |
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kakobrekla | thats the good part. | [00:43] |
* | jurov waits for tibbycoin | [00:44] |
kakobrekla | ya really | [00:44] |
kakobrekla | yope. | [00:44] |
kakobrekla | O_o | [00:44] |
jurov | bitcoin is *not* ready to replace any amount of worldwide economy. we do need experiments/forks at this stage | [00:45] |
jurov | but we also need someone to do it properly | [00:46] |
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jurov | yea, these poor silkroad dealers you mentioned yest. let's remember them with moment of silence. | [00:47] |
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MJR_III | what happened to the sr dealers? | [00:48] |
thestringpuller | that will change as price increases | [00:48] |
jurov | tiberiusiv because it is too risky to keep big amounts on exchanges | [00:48] |
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Bugpowder | You can move about 0.5MM pretty easily | [00:49] |
jurov | and that's actually good, it slows the rally while we accrue some real competency (by tial and error, but hopefully still) | [00:50] |
Bugpowder | huh? | [00:50] |
Bugpowder | people buy that all the time | [00:50] |
Bugpowder | 0.5MM? | [00:50] |
pgp | need credible exchange | [00:50] |
jurov | like if there were millions going in and out, that wouldn't cause wild swings? | [00:50] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.41999999 BTC [-] | [00:50] |
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Bugpowder | single 1MM gox orders have been going off once a day for the past 2 weeks | [00:51] |
Bugpowder | there is a 1.5MM bid at 76 right now | [00:51] |
Bugpowder | the swings are from goxlag | [00:51] |
jurov | nonsense. if all 10m bitcoins were on mtgox's ask side | [00:51] |
Bugpowder | yes it is | [00:51] |
MJR_III | true which is around 30 seconds now | [00:51] |
Bugpowder | I saw it go up | [00:51] |
MJR_III | ;;goxlag | [00:52] |
gribble | 36.499108 seconds | [00:52] |
jurov | then 1m USD would still move the price considerably | [00:52] |
jurov | so? don't clamor for impossible them. | [00:52] |
jurov | *then | [00:52] |
Bugpowder | a 1M buy right now moves the price 5% | [00:52] |
Bugpowder | if you hit it all at once | [00:53] |
Bugpowder | instead of dribble | [00:53] |
Bugpowder | I bet a 1MM bid moves any midcap stock at least as much | [00:53] |
Bugpowder | no | [00:53] |
jurov | tiberiusiv so how do you propose to get instantly into 1trillion mkt cap? | [00:54] |
jurov | so you can have your beloved liquidity? | [00:54] |
MJR_III | hahaha | [00:54] |
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jurov | it's necessary condition | [00:54] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9700 @ 0.00067039 = 6.5028 BTC [-] | [00:54] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2718 @ 0.00066531 = 1.8083 BTC [-] | [00:54] |
jurov | one of necessary conditions | [00:54] |
pgp | bp - your right about comparing to trading in midcap stocks | [00:55] |
pgp | the same can be said of companies that ipo | [00:56] |
pgp | often they float <10% of there shares and often aren't that liquid | [00:56] |
pgp | mt gox makes it a closed system to a certain extent | [00:57] |
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jurov | i'd argue that fiat is "overliquid" since it has inflated supply so you have too high expectations | [01:00] |
jurov | bitcoin is scarce, not easy to just lend 10k block | [01:01] |
jurov | from central bank | [01:01] |
jurov | and use it to trade | [01:01] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [B.YABMC] 1 @ 0.014 BTC [+] | [01:01] |
jurov | but where you can take it from? someone will lend it to you | [01:01] |
jurov | this isn't so easy with btc.. jus lend it on moment;s notice | [01:02] |
jurov | tiberiusiv, all that "volume" and "liuquidity" on irl fin markets is thanks to leverage | [01:02] |
jurov | agree or not? | [01:03] |
jurov | and there were crashes every now and then | [01:03] |
jurov | and panics | [01:03] |
jurov | like we have now in btc | [01:04] |
jurov | yes, and i do ask, where is the liquidity from? | [01:04] |
jurov | from leverage, i say. | [01:04] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 1 @ 0.37 BTC [+] | [01:04] |
pgp | leverage and credit lines are the key to liquidity in modern financial markets | [01:04] |
jurov | gold covered money was not either. $1m could really create panic at its time | [01:05] |
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jurov | this is fiat at the moment | [01:06] |
MJR_III | ugh i can't trade like this | [01:07] |
jurov | how so? they are printing and loaning it out in hopes some greater fool will come and eat all the debt | [01:07] |
jurov | tiberiusiv don't change the topic | [01:07] |
jurov | lalalalala | [01:08] |
jurov | you obvoisly aren't trying to understand what i'm saying :/ | [01:08] |
jurov | what i told in last 50 lines? | [01:08] |
jurov | obviously if you aren't even replying to my point | [01:09] |
MJR_III | jurov: he is not interested in your points, he will always change topics once you have proven him wrong yet again... | [01:09] |
jurov | ^^^ this | [01:10] |
MJR_III | i ignored him long ago...i wish everyone else would | [01:10] |
MJR_III | i know how tempting it can be to show someone who is obviuosly wrong how and where they are wrong...but i couldn't get sucked into that trap any more | [01:10] |
MJR_III | he is banking on you getting invested in trying to show him the intelligent way of looking at things | [01:10] |
MJR_III | he'll devolve into ad hominem, and any other logical fallacy | [01:11] |
jurov | i know. but it's useful for me to try and explain, too, even if he isn't listening | [01:11] |
MJR_III | good point | [01:11] |
MJR_III | i at least enjoyed reading your points | [01:11] |
bgupta | Is there a relatively conventional futures market in btc? | [01:11] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 2 @ 0.41999999 = 0.84 BTC [-] | [01:11] |
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jurov | so? you want to pump and dump and can't? | [01:15] |
jurov | and it can get you more if ye weren't inept and bought mpoe options with these 12k in meantime | [01:15] |
jurov | they are most liquid instrument there is | [01:16] |
smickles | ;;bc,24hprc | [01:16] |
gribble | 88.81 | [01:17] |
jurov | dude they are just covered by tens of thousands of btc. | [01:17] |
MJR_III | cue talking shit about mircea_popescu | [01:17] |
MJR_III | i can't see what he wrote but i'm guessing gypsy something | [01:18] |
jurov | yea btc is illiquid hence everything is shit lalalalala | [01:18] |
smickles | mp is just a greasy wanabe pimp | [01:18] |
MJR_III | ooh thats new | [01:18] |
MJR_III | love that he can still surprise me | [01:18] |
smickles | tiberiusiv: np :D | [01:18] |
MJR_III | this is actually fun | [01:18] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 72 @ 0.41 = 29.52 BTC [-] | [01:18] |
MJR_III | guessing his arguments from watching half the convo | [01:18] |
MJR_III | how many people has he called poor? over/under 3 | [01:19] |
jurov | tiberiusiv nobody here agrees with you. so you must have indeed better understanding :) | [01:19] |
taub | downpressure is stronger than ever | [01:19] |
jurov | no i'm mere sockpuppet | [01:19] |
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jurov | so we finally arrived at name calling :D | [01:21] |
jurov | seems i did convince you as well | [01:21] |
jurov | granted, i did convince them first :) | [01:22] |
jurov | yes? what did he try to sell you? | [01:23] |
jurov | and how do you know for example iDiffs i'm selling aren't overvalued trash? | [01:24] |
jurov | and you have obsession with undoing someone, i see :) | [01:25] |
jurov | oh seems talking to self mode activated | [01:26] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 21636 @ 0.00067234 = 14.5467 BTC [+] | [01:26] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5000 @ 0.00067326 = 3.3663 BTC [+] | [01:26] |
jurov | sorry to disrupt your thought processes | [01:26] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 15664 @ 0.00067327 = 10.5461 BTC [+] | [01:26] |
smickles | what've you got against psycopaths? | [01:26] |
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MJR_III | lol | [01:26] |
MJR_III | have we arrived at this point already? | [01:27] |
smickles | psycopaths are usually productive members of society | [01:27] |
jurov | yea, especially sociopaths are among the most productive | [01:27] |
MJR_III | they say a lot of ceo's are sociopaths | [01:27] |
smickles | i dunno about that, seems kinda off-handed remarkish | [01:28] |
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MJR_III | yeah, its more of an urban legend i suppose | [01:29] |
* | smickles founds the psycopathic rights movement | [01:29] |
MJR_III | i can't trade at all right now, bitfinex is fucked | [01:30] |
smickles | MJR_III: what do you want to trade? | [01:30] |
MJR_III | not sure...maybe just short at 92 | [01:30] |
MJR_III | try to get out around 88 | [01:30] |
MJR_III | its mostly for fun on my bitfinex account, i usually just lend out the money, but interest rates have dropped, so i am actively trading the account to try and grow it a bit | [01:31] |
smickles | wow, you picked a winner of a site do trade on | [01:31] |
MJR_III | lol, only margin trading platform really | [01:31] |
MJR_III | as far as i know | [01:31] |
smickles | icbit works better than this place | [01:32] |
MJR_III | i was wondering though, and maybe mircea_popescu has some experience, but what if you used some sort of system to break up the channel of info | [01:32] |
MJR_III | like have orders on a certain port | [01:32] |
MJR_III | data on a different one | [01:32] |
MJR_III | and none of them are 80 | [01:32] |
MJR_III | or if you had a vpn session or something | [01:32] |
smickles | what would be the point? | [01:32] |
MJR_III | avoid ddos | [01:33] |
smickles | i bet they could direct ddos at any port | [01:33] |
MJR_III | i wonder if you could create a fix engine in a web browser | [01:33] |
MJR_III | i'm sure they could smickles | [01:33] |
MJR_III | hence you have to have a valid logon | [01:33] |
MJR_III | and then your trading session goes across that | [01:33] |
smickles | you'd still have to negotiate the logon | [01:33] |
MJR_III | true | [01:34] |
MJR_III | hmmm | [01:34] |
MJR_III | i just had another idea...but not sure if it would work | [01:34] |
MJR_III | you know how yubikey or any of those authenticators work? | [01:34] |
MJR_III | what if you used that for port based connection | [01:34] |
MJR_III | only registered customers could connect cuz they know what port to connect on | [01:35] |
smickles | obfuscation is not protection | [01:35] |
smickles | eventually, that port would be known | [01:35] |
smickles | if not right away | [01:35] |
jurov | i'd use ssl certificate | [01:35] |
MJR_III | no, the port constantly changes | [01:36] |
MJR_III | every 20 seconds | [01:36] |
jurov | with some ddos protection that supports ssl | [01:36] |
MJR_III | but since your auth is changing the same way as their client | [01:36] |
MJR_III | you can always connect | [01:36] |
jurov | the ddos coinbr saw would have no problem penetrating all 65535 ports | [01:37] |
Troic | hmm what good is a different port if your upstream connection is saturated ? | [01:37] |
MJR_III | good points | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [B.YABMC] 1 @ 0.007601 BTC [-] | [01:38] |
mircea_popescu | MJR_III understand, ddos threat is not to cpu | [01:38] |
mircea_popescu | it's to the routers. | [01:38] |
MJR_III | yes | [01:38] |
MJR_III | thats what you were telling me | [01:38] |
jurov | using various IP addresses instead of port may work | [01:39] |
jurov | but you still need to expose some stable anchor where users authenticate | [01:40] |
MJR_III | i still think that you could use the yubikey method | [01:40] |
jurov | and get the ip | [01:40] |
mircea_popescu | [01:41] | |
jurov | hmmm... maybe create DNS entry |
[01:41] |
mircea_popescu | ppcoin sounds more like "what does this button do" than anything. | [01:41] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 0.787948 = 1.5759 BTC [+] | [01:41] |
mircea_popescu |
|
[01:42] |
MJR_III | jurov yeah that is what i was thinking | [01:43] |
Troic | nothing to stop the dosser getting the ip, well 30btc, unless each user has a differnt ip/isp | [01:43] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.DICE] 3 @ 0.0039999 = 0.012 BTC [+] | [01:43] |
MJR_III | a token based system | [01:43] |
MJR_III | how would he get the token? | [01:43] |
jurov | yes you need a pool of ips | [01:43] |
MJR_III | only registered users would get it | [01:43] |
MJR_III | and yes, a pool of ips, but that shouldn't be that hard | [01:43] |
jurov | yubikey creates a pseudorandom string and you know what the strign is going to be, no? | [01:44] |
MJR_III | yes | [01:44] |
jurov | as you issued the yubikey | [01:44] |
Troic | pool of IPs on different AS, that is expensive, at least you can shut the account down :) | [01:44] |
MJR_III | and it changes every 20 seconds according to a pattern that only you can tell] | [01:44] |
jurov | bah, it can be just a bunch of spot instances or cheap vpses | [01:45] |
MJR_III | i guess it would be similar to the one time password that gribble does | [01:45] |
MJR_III | exactly, its just a simple authenticator which serves as a gatekeeper before you connect | [01:45] |
Troic | 'bunch of spot instances or cheap vpses' all on same router for dos to target | [01:45] |
mircea_popescu | myeah. | [01:46] |
MJR_III | can't you split them up? | [01:46] |
Troic | expensive | [01:46] |
jurov | Troic, on amazon you can have the instances on like 10 diff places | [01:46] |
MJR_III | AWS instances in different zones? | [01:46] |
mircea_popescu | MJR_III this is what was going on back during ddos | [01:46] |
jurov | for almost the same price, yes | [01:46] |
mircea_popescu | some ninny actually took the time to blow them up one at a time | [01:46] |
Troic | 10 customers | [01:46] |
jurov | mircea_popescu cuz you didn't use amazon loadbalancer... granted, with 10TB traffic it would get a bit expensive :) | [01:48] |
mircea_popescu | jurov they were cheap vps's etc | [01:48] |
mircea_popescu | i thought htat's what we were disucssing | [01:48] |
MJR_III | what is the cost of a ddos of that magnitude? | [01:48] |
mircea_popescu | siiignificant. | [01:49] |
jurov | yes we were talink about that, but after experimenting i realized hiding these cheap vpses behind loadbalancer is the way to go | [01:49] |
jurov | *talking | [01:49] |
mircea_popescu | i hear 1gbit for 30 seconds is like 5-10 bux for random noob. | [01:49] |
MJR_III | 10 terabytes? that has got to cost quite a bit | [01:49] |
jurov | 10TB is around 300bux iirc | [01:50] |
jurov | for a lb | [01:50] |
MJR_III | per how long? | [01:50] |
jurov | total | [01:50] |
jurov | accoumulated | [01:50] |
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MJR_III | that is pretty cheap | [01:50] |
mircea_popescu | 10 tb = 1000 seconds of 10 gbit | [01:50] |
jurov | thre's maybe hope they are onyl counting legit traffic that ges through | [01:51] |
jurov | not syn flood | [01:51] |
jurov | i should research it | [01:51] |
mircea_popescu | possibly ya | [01:53] |
mircea_popescu | but so was i. | [01:53] |
mircea_popescu | synflood is like, 14 bytes per packet ? | [01:53] |
jurov | $0.008 per GB of data processed by an Elastic Load Balancer, no further details | [01:53] |
jurov | plus $0.025 per Elastic Load Balancer-hour (or partial hour) | [01:54] |
MJR_III | not too bad | [01:54] |
MJR_III | you could bring it up when the attack starts | [01:54] |
MJR_III | and i think you would be blocking their expensive attack with a cheap shield | [01:55] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 10 @ 0.48 = 4.8 BTC [+] | [01:59] |
taub | what do you guys think? up/down? | [02:00] |
taub | I'm still bearish short term, this retracement isn't over | [02:00] |
MJR_III | think we are somewhat stablising | [02:01] |
MJR_III | i think we bounce between 92 and 88 | [02:02] |
MJR_III | maybe if gox lag gets bad quick spikes in either direction | [02:02] |
MJR_III | mircea_popescu: so what is cloudflare actually doing for bitfinex | [02:02] |
MJR_III | i can't use their website | [02:03] |
mircea_popescu | i dunno who was asking me about ddos protection services and i said they all have their issues | [02:03] |
mircea_popescu | this'd be an example. | [02:03] |
taub | bitfinex would work better if they would deploy on a more solid exchange | [02:03] |
taub | like bitfloor | [02:03] |
MJR_III | i agree | [02:03] |
MJR_III | bitfloor has the best response time i think | [02:04] |
taub | yea, its the least worst exchange i've seen | [02:04] |
MJR_III | lol | [02:04] |
MJR_III | wish there was a better order interface | [02:04] |
MJR_III | but what can you do | [02:04] |
taub | okay mpex is the pinnacle, but for btcusd | [02:04] |
MJR_III | also margin and shorting would be nice | [02:04] |
MJR_III | well of course | [02:04] |
jurov | mircea_popescu: options did exercise but old names still stayed | [02:04] |
jurov | or it's scheduled for later? | [02:05] |
mircea_popescu | yeah. | [02:05] |
MJR_III | also...roman told me that he could handle 2k orders per second | [02:05] |
taub | :O | [02:06] |
MJR_III | mircea_popescu: so if its the router...if it just drops all but a certain subset of traffic, can it still be overloaded? | [02:07] |
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mircea_popescu | MJR_III yes. | [02:07] |
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MJR_III | mircea_popescu: so there is unblockable ddos? | [02:11] |
mircea_popescu | yes. | [02:11] |
jurov | ;;bc,24hprc | [02:12] |
gribble | 89.55 | [02:12] |
jurov | if they flooded with fully legit gpg-encypted requests for example | [02:12] |
MJR_III | interesting | [02:12] |
KRS1 | i dont think there is such a thing MJR | [02:12] |
MJR_III | KRS1: a purely hardware overload | [02:12] |
KRS1 | you can filter it through a proxy | [02:12] |
KRS1 | thats what my friend does for a living..he mitigates attacks | [02:13] |
MJR_III | KRS1: if the proxy is overloaded | [02:13] |
bgupta | http://www.foxnews.com/tech/2013/03/29/digital-currency-bitcoin-surpasses-20-national-currencies-in-value/ | [02:13] |
KRS1 | i know a bit about it being in IT but i'm not an expert in that area | [02:13] |
MJR_III | well, i think every piece of hardware will have a limit | [02:13] |
MJR_III | and this is just theorizing | [02:13] |
MJR_III | but if any piece is overloaded (it could restart, or have its buffers flooded) you break the site | [02:14] |
KRS1 | the proxy typically is equipped for the traffic and then its filtered and sent to the customer | [02:14] |
MJR_III | no i understand | [02:14] |
MJR_III | mircea was talking about terabytes of data | [02:14] |
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KRS1 | the idea is that if you cant accept the traffic something needs to accept it for you that cant be overwhelmed | [02:17] |
KRS1 | even for terabytes of data | [02:17] |
MJR_III | but my point is that as far as i know there is no device with unlimited capacity | [02:18] |
KRS1 | thats right | [02:18] |
ThickAsThieves | how many hours til newstyle options might be released? | [02:18] |
KRS1 | you scale it | [02:18] |
KRS1 | with additional hardware | [02:18] |
MJR_III | so if you had a 100gb router (they exist) it could still be brought down | [02:18] |
KRS1 | sure why not...any distributed effort can be bigger than its target. | [02:19] |
MJR_III | true | [02:19] |
MJR_III | of course you probbably donb't need to stop theoretical attacks just make it impractical | [02:20] |
KRS1 | hopefully you have something that can accept the traffic that can handle it | [02:20] |
MJR_III | yes true | [02:20] |
MJR_III | but for example, i am setting up an stunnel to bitfloor | [02:20] |
MJR_III | so worst case if the site goes down, that should not bring down my stunnel | [02:20] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 14 @ 0.00385 = 0.0539 BTC [-] | [02:21] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 20 @ 0.00381 = 0.0762 BTC [-] | [02:21] |
MJR_III | so for an institutional client, some sort of vpn on dedicated hardware is probably best | [02:21] |
KRS1 | encryption adds a lot of overhead | [02:21] |
KRS1 | i think i see what you are saying | [02:21] |
KRS1 | what would be the target though | [02:22] |
KRS1 | right | [02:22] |
KRS1 | hopefully multiples that can failover if need be | [02:22] |
MJR_III | good point | [02:23] |
KRS1 | the cisco ASA can vpn too | [02:23] |
MJR_III | yep | [02:23] |
MJR_III | that is what we have lol | [02:23] |
MJR_III | and 6509's 2 of them VSS'd | [02:23] |
KRS1 | nice | [02:23] |
KRS1 | dont forget about bandwidth when setting up stunnel, encryption adds overhead | [02:24] |
KRS1 | dns..etc. | [02:24] |
MJR_III | its ture | [02:24] |
MJR_III | true | [02:24] |
MJR_III | hmmm, what is the best router out there? | [02:25] |
MJR_III | i'm just curious | [02:25] |
MJR_III | the asa is actually a firewall right | [02:26] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 2 @ 1.895 = 3.79 BTC [+] | [02:26] |
MJR_III | juniper makes some nice stuff | [02:28] |
MJR_III | fuck when i finally got back on bitfinex i am greeted by the position i didn't know i had | [02:28] |
kakobrekla | lol | [02:29] |
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MJR_III | it actually is not that bad of a position though...short at 90.50 | [02:29] |
jurov | mircea used vwap 90.34 ??? quite a boost we got there :P | [02:32] |
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MJR_III | i exercised at 71, what a sucker i am | [02:34] |
MJR_III | that was awesome, my local pizza place delivered me cigarettes | [02:37] |
KRS1 | yea asa is awesome | [02:38] |
MJR_III | i wonder...how will ipv6 change the DDOS landscape | [02:39] |
KRS1 | router-depends on what you use it for | [02:39] |
MJR_III | cisco 7000 series | [02:39] |
MJR_III | :) | [02:39] |
KRS1 | ipv6 is just a transport mechanism not sure it would matter | [02:39] |
MJR_III | you could have a MUCH greater address pool | [02:39] |
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KRS1 | sorry i mean addressing method | [02:39] |
MJR_III | and also you wouldn't have to worry about NATing | [02:39] |
MJR_III | which can be a bottleneck | [02:39] |
KRS1 | yeah ipv6 would increase the # of ddos participants against the target if you could ever get there | [02:40] |
MJR_III | good point | [02:40] |
KRS1 | router- depending on the application | [02:40] |
KRS1 | voip traffic, etc | [02:40] |
thestringpuller | mircea_popescu: financials up yet? | [02:41] |
MJR_III | tcpip = cisco i think | [02:41] |
MJR_III | vs udp etc | [02:41] |
MJR_III | i mean | [02:41] |
jurov | lol certain lucky coinbr user made 4 btc out of one using calls (not tibby obviously) | [02:42] |
MJR_III | wow what did he have? | [02:42] |
MJR_III | 41 calls is what i got | [02:42] |
jurov | thestringpuller don't be impatient :) | [02:42] |
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KRS1 | bbl | [02:43] |
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mircea_popescu | http://polimedia.us/trilema/2013/mpoe-march-2013-statement/ | [02:46] |
mircea_popescu | ok tghere it is. | [02:46] |
copumpkin | hmm, that's not ideal | [02:46] |
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jurov | so all the bonds that went below 100BTC will be paid out automatically or we need to ask? | [02:48] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.MPOE-PT] 700 @ 0.000617 = 0.4319 BTC [-] | [02:48] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.MPOE-PT] 120 @ 0.000616 = 0.0739 BTC [-] | [02:49] |
mircea_popescu | jurov they get paid. | [02:49] |
mircea_popescu | i forgot the red lines | [02:50] |
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jurov | mircea_popescu: and why so high vwap got used? did it really fell from 90.34 to 89.55 in 10 minutes? | [02:55] |
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mircea_popescu | actually i see it 91.05 atm ? | [03:00] |
jurov | ;;bc,24hprc | [03:01] |
gribble | 89.53 | [03:01] |
jurov | where? | [03:01] |
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jurov | http://www.bitcoincharts.com/markets/currencies/ lists 89.53 too | [03:02] |
mircea_popescu | hm | [03:02] |
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taub | i dont like this price action one bit | [03:03] |
mircea_popescu | there's a lot of volume right at the edge of the rolling window | [03:05] |
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MJR_III | wow mircea_popescu, that did make me nauseous | [03:07] |
thestringpuller | mircea_popescu: where is dat post | [03:07] |
thestringpuller | lolol | [03:07] |
mircea_popescu | myeah | [03:07] |
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assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.4 BTC [-] | [03:15] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.4199 BTC [+] | [03:16] |
jurov | https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=131270.msg1702603#msg1702603 | [03:21] |
jurov | converted even bad news into sales pitch... | [03:21] |
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jborkl | we all knew the bot was going to beat like rodney king | [03:23] |
MJR_III | but why did bugpowder think that would affect dividends | [03:23] |
jborkl | just a one month deal | [03:23] |
jborkl | sorry mp.rough month | [03:23] |
jurov | mpex.co now looks so easily comprehensive, all options gone | [03:25] |
MJR_III | nice | [03:31] |
MJR_III | bitfinex sucks, they don't actually send orders out, but whatever engine they have doesn't send them out quickly enough, which partially gox's fault | [03:32] |
MJR_III | it traded down to 87 without me getting filled | [03:32] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 10 @ 0.4 = 4 BTC [-] | [03:32] |
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jurov | 20 to 200 with step 3 planned? we'll have 244 new options then... | [03:34] |
MJR_III | wouldn't it be 90 puts and 90 calls for each month? | [03:35] |
jurov | no, 61 puts and 61 calls | [03:36] |
jurov | if i'm to believe this oocalc thing | [03:36] |
MJR_III | 180/3 | [03:36] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 50 @ 0.4 = 20 BTC [-] | [03:36] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 30 @ 0.4 = 12 BTC [-] | [03:36] |
MJR_III | i thought | [03:37] |
jurov | 180/3=60 lol | [03:37] |
MJR_III | lol, thats why i should use gribble | [03:37] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 40 @ 0.4 = 16 BTC [-] | [03:38] |
jurov | C750 to be upgraded to C77, yum | [03:39] |
MJR_III | looking forward to sdice financials this month | [03:39] |
MJR_III | jurov: isn't that downgraded? | [03:41] |
smickles | lol | [03:41] |
MJR_III | unless you were short i suppose | [03:42] |
jurov | you're right :) | [03:42] |
MJR_III | but if i was long that call i would have rather gone to 74 | [03:42] |
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smickles | oh, lol, that went well | [03:49] |
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* | smickles debugs | [03:49] |
* | Diablo-D3 hands smickles the raid | [03:49] |
smickles | BUY|O.USD.C920T|7|11344696 <<< does that look wrong to anyone :D | [03:49] |
Diablo-D3 | no because I have no clue wtf it says | [03:50] |
jurov | that looks VERY bullish | [03:50] |
jurov | Diablo-D3: smickles wants option to buy 7 BTC at $920 each :) | [03:50] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.4 BTC [-] | [03:50] |
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jurov | at measly 1.134 per option | [03:51] |
smickles | ;;calc 920/(1-.1134) | [03:51] |
gribble | 1037.67200541 | [03:51] |
smickles | nice b/e point | [03:51] |
Diablo-D3 | jurov: I like the cut of his jib | [03:51] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 2 @ 0.4 = 0.8 BTC [-] | [03:52] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 2 @ 0.4 = 0.8 BTC [-] | [03:52] |
topace_ | !ticker h sdice | [03:53] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK:SDICE] 1D: 0.35000000 / 0.41321889 / 0.46500000 (457 shares, 188.84103088 BTC), 7D: 0.35000000 / 0.45346676 / 0.53000000 (1701 shares, 771.34695284 BTC), 30D: 0.35000000 / 0.5143263 / 0.68950000 (6033 shares, 3102.93054732 BTC) | [03:53] |
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thestringpuller | lololq | [03:54] |
TradeFortress | bfl asics doesn't hash lol | [03:55] |
Diablo-D3 | but I bought a bowl and everything :< | [03:56] |
MJR_III | TradeFortress: really? | [03:57] |
TradeFortress | MJR_III: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4C4bgho5JSI | [03:57] |
MJR_III | would it be fun to have an open cry pit for bitcoins? | [03:59] |
MJR_III | i think it would be | [03:59] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3600 @ 0.00067327 = 2.4238 BTC [+] | [04:01] |
MJR_III | i mostly want to do it for the cool jackets... | [04:01] |
smickles | ok, what's wrong with BUY|O.USD.C89T|7|12279228 ? | [04:04] |
arij | what the | [04:05] |
mircea_popescu | smickles 089 | [04:05] |
smickles | mircea_popescu: why does it show on mpex.co as C89T? | [04:05] |
mircea_popescu | so : the mpsic change is complete. if you had N's that were realocated they should show up. | [04:05] |
mircea_popescu | bot is quoting. | [04:06] |
mircea_popescu | the entire thing is trading under supervision and stuff may be rolled back if there's issues. | [04:06] |
smickles | oh, it just changed | [04:06] |
mircea_popescu | go ahead and test. | [04:06] |
jurov | and multiply | [04:06] |
taub | thats a lot of options :D | [04:07] |
mircea_popescu | :p | [04:09] |
MJR_III | what do you think mircea_popescu, trading jackets and open cry pit? | [04:10] |
MJR_III | plus the hand signals look cool | [04:10] |
mircea_popescu | can't hurt. | [04:10] |
MJR_III | its so anachronistic | [04:11] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 5 @ 0.78791 = 3.9396 BTC [-] | [04:12] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 3 @ 0.787948 = 2.3638 BTC [+] | [04:12] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.78795 BTC [+] | [04:12] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.788 BTC [+] | [04:12] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 10 @ 0.78895 = 7.8895 BTC [+] | [04:12] |
thestringpuller | mircea_popescu: that was the saddest financial report ever | [04:13] |
taub | oh sick bids @ mtgox | [04:13] |
mircea_popescu | myeah | [04:14] |
thestringpuller | ;;asks 94 | [04:14] |
gribble | There are currently 8425.506 bitcoins offered at or under 94.0 USD, worth 779353.416378 USD in total. | Data vintage: 72.7984 seconds | [04:14] |
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thestringpuller | ;;seen smickles | [04:21] |
gribble | smickles was last seen in #bitcoin-assets 14 minutes and 57 seconds ago: |
[04:21] |
Chaang-Noi | ;;bids 85 | [04:22] |
mircea_popescu | [04:22] | |
gribble | There are currently 16363.067 bitcoins demanded at or over 85.0 USD, worth 1467808.69682 USD in total. | Data vintage: 0.0052 seconds | [04:22] |
Chaang-Noi | damn that is a wall... | [04:23] |
Chaang-Noi | ;;bids 75 | [04:23] |
gribble | There are currently 46099.881 bitcoins demanded at or over 75.0 USD, worth 3796776.10301 USD in total. | Data vintage: 26.1647 seconds | [04:23] |
mircea_popescu | [04:23] | |
Chaang-Noi | 10k coins at 92 | [04:23] |
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jurov | yes i stand corrected | [04:23] |
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mircea_popescu | i'll be damned... everything seems in order ? | [04:24] |
MJR_III | here comes another spike | [04:25] |
MJR_III | that is a huge ass wall at 92 | [04:25] |
Chaang-Noi | yes sir | [04:25] |
Chaang-Noi | 10k | [04:25] |
mircea_popescu | bot is quoting correctly and everything. cool beans. | [04:26] |
MJR_III | this movie is pretty fun to watch | [04:26] |
MJR_III | The Pit | [04:26] |
Chaang-Noi | 10k and growin, like 13k now... bull trap maybe? get people to place bids at 92, then crash market? :) | [04:26] |
MJR_III | i think so | [04:26] |
MJR_III | i'm short at 92 | [04:27] |
mircea_popescu | i might have lost 15k rthis month, but on the upside who the duck else has monthly report and whole mpsic changeover in 2 hours ? | [04:27] |
mircea_popescu | fucking worth a million and a half i tell you | [04:27] |
MJR_III | mircea_popescu yes, nice transition | [04:27] |
MJR_III | this is the most interesting thing about trading, is that for every trade there is someone else on the other side | [04:30] |
MJR_III | and i think economics forgets that at times | [04:30] |
MJR_III | and people who trade with each other a lot, its like your win can be their loss | [04:30] |
Chaang-Noi | lift off and wall at 17k lol | [04:31] |
MJR_III | yeah looks like we are headed to 94 for sure | [04:31] |
taub | shh Chaang-Noi | [04:31] |
Chaang-Noi | lol, like im going to scare the bulls :) | [04:32] |
Chaang-Noi | we might get 100 before april after all | [04:33] |
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Chaang-Noi | ;;asks 100 | [04:33] |
gribble | There are currently 23844.076 bitcoins offered at or under 100.0 USD, worth 2309880.5722 USD in total. | Data vintage: 63.0708 seconds | [04:33] |
Chaang-Noi | hmmm | [04:33] |
Chaang-Noi | asic miner, too many rich holders eh? well lets wait for the 260 ghs :) | [04:36] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2282 @ 0.00066531 = 1.5182 BTC [-] | [04:40] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6068 @ 0.00066529 = 4.037 BTC [-] | [04:40] |
assbot | [MPEX] [O.USD.C098T] 230 @ 0.22099114 = 50.828 BTC | [04:40] |
mircea_popescu | !ticker m ^oix | [04:41] |
assbot | [MPEX:^OIX] 1D: 0 / 0 / 0 (0 shares, 0 BTC), 7D: 66.95953589 / 85.06143152 / 85.06556611 (111084 shares, 22,108.25 BTC), 30D: 0 / 0 / 0 (0 shares, 0 BTC) | [04:41] |
MJR_III | hi pigeons | [04:41] |
MJR_III | hmmm | [04:42] |
jurov | MJR_III: coinbr should be done too | [04:42] |
MJR_III | 104 calls look nice | [04:42] |
assbot | [MPEX] [O.USD.P050T] 8 @ 0.0157744 = 0.1262 BTC | [04:42] |
MJR_III | jurov: have we gotten divs yet? | [04:44] |
jurov | s.mpoe hasn't paid yet | [04:44] |
MJR_III | ;;bc,24hprc | [04:44] |
gribble | 89.91 | [04:45] |
mircea_popescu | https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=131270.msg1558393#msg1558393 | [04:46] |
mircea_popescu | o wow look at all the detective work | [04:46] |
jurov | oh yes, i must tell to deprived they weren't in order | [04:47] |
MJR_III | jurov, nice avatar | [04:48] |
MJR_III | i take it you are a recipient of the double cherry truck award? | [04:48] |
jurov | yea, i have drawn it and awarded mpex. got 5btc in return :) | [04:49] |
MJR_III | very nice | [04:49] |
jurov | the contest: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=122881.0 | [04:50] |
jurov | in memory of Patrick Harnett | [04:50] |
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mircea_popescu | lol yea | [04:51] |
mircea_popescu | jurov : if you have any artist friends you can always troll them | [04:51] |
mircea_popescu | by pointing out that they don't ger 500 bux for a vignette | [04:51] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [B.YABMC] 1 @ 0.01449 BTC [+] | [04:52] |
MJR_III | lets see that wall disappear | [04:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [B.YABMC] 1 @ 0.0145 BTC [+] | [04:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [B.YABMC] 1 @ 0.016 BTC [+] | [04:53] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [B.YABMC] 1 @ 0.017 BTC [+] | [04:53] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [B.YABMC] 1 @ 0.019 BTC [+] | [04:53] |
jurov | yea. that was actually second time i won some such contest | [04:53] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [B.YABMC] 11 @ 0.01966 = 0.2163 BTC [+] | [04:54] |
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MJR_III | so, did you transfer rights to the double cherry truck award to mpex, or do you retain the rights to award said trophy | [04:54] |
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mircea_popescu | i retain all rights! | [04:56] |
mircea_popescu | and priviledges | [04:56] |
jurov | MJR_III: i guess once btc will rise enough, i can find lawyer to pick the case pro bono | [04:56] |
MJR_III | ah | [04:56] |
jurov | :D | [04:56] |
jurov | ooh and also received payout, that was quick: http://bitbet.us/bet/3/mpbor-over-10-in-q1/?ref=1EteoRKNYbNhhmFfsKnUSWRF3JUpKCcMnc | [04:56] |
MJR_III | i think that award will be worth a lot in the future...i would like to be a recipient of the double cherry truck award, but i think that the moody's triple a rating will be slightly smoky dragon | [04:57] |
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mircea_popescu | haha | [04:58] |
mircea_popescu | i'm gonna have to come up with criteria to award these now | [04:58] |
MJR_III | yep | [04:58] |
jurov | and i'll be awarding ravaging mermaid | [04:59] |
MJR_III | NICE | [04:59] |
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MJR_III | i do like the mermaid | [04:59] |
MJR_III | fuck, what to watch next | [04:59] |
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jurov | kakobrekla: you should make banners with rotating bets and put them on reddit, some bet fall quickly into obscurity | [05:00] |
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jurov | especially some i'd like to bet moar | [05:00] |
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Chaang-Noi | large drama on bitcoin talk = large bets | [05:04] |
Chaang-Noi | a company to profit off of bitcoin drama, best idea evar | [05:04] |
jurov | Chaang-Noi: have you seen the one "bitcointalk treasurer to be scammer tagged"? | [05:05] |
Chaang-Noi | yeah | [05:05] |
Chaang-Noi | i expect Og to be the scammer of the group | [05:05] |
Chaang-Noi | i forget the otehrs | [05:06] |
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Chaang-Noi | also dont forget theymos is the guy who hands out tags:) | [05:06] |
mircea_popescu | wait. og as in, the ognasty club guy ? | [05:09] |
Chaang-Noi | yeah, i dont trust him | [05:11] |
pigeons | m-i-c | [05:12] |
pigeons | k-e-y | [05:12] |
mircea_popescu | o this can't possibly end well. | [05:12] |
mircea_popescu | where's that bet again ? | [05:12] |
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ThickAsThieves | mp, do mpex PR lackeys get an @mpex.co email addy? | [05:15] |
Chaang-Noi | lol | [05:15] |
ThickAsThieves | could use email addy's as referral system | [05:15] |
mircea_popescu | um | [05:16] |
mircea_popescu | i'd hope they have their own email >< | [05:16] |
mircea_popescu | o also, someone be kind enough to put march report on reddit ? | [05:16] |
mircea_popescu | curious what the derpcrowd does | [05:16] |
Chaang-Noi | theymos still has you banned? | [05:17] |
mircea_popescu | um | [05:18] |
mircea_popescu | i have no idea tbh | [05:18] |
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MJR_III | who put up that wall and to what end? | [05:21] |
Chaang-Noi | want has btc or want has btc price move up? | [05:27] |
ThickAsThieves | ;;ticker | [05:27] |
gribble | BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 92.52001, Best ask: 92.74995, Bid-ask spread: 0.22994, Last trade: 92.74995, 24 hour volume: 73187.25009339, 24 hour low: 85.50000, 24 hour high: 94.00000, 24 hour vwap: 90.09023 | [05:27] |
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Chaang-Noi | two 1000 btc sell orders fell into it | [05:28] |
Chaang-Noi | its a real wall | [05:28] |
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MJR_III | hmmm | [05:31] |
MJR_III | interesting | [05:31] |
MJR_III | well, we are digging in | [05:31] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.MPOE-PT] 47 @ 0.000607 = 0.0285 BTC [-] | [05:32] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 3 @ 0.797793 = 2.3934 BTC [+] | [05:37] |
MJR_III | ;;calc 91.77*1.2 | [05:39] |
gribble | 110.124 | [05:39] |
ThickAsThieves | ;;bids 0 | [05:40] |
gribble | There are currently 34671020 bitcoins demanded at or over 0.0 USD, worth 10482734.1184 USD in total. | Data vintage: 0.0176 seconds | [05:40] |
ThickAsThieves | waitll bug sees that | [05:41] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 9 @ 0.797794 = 7.1801 BTC [+] | [05:42] |
ThickAsThieves | ;;asks 99.91 | [05:42] |
gribble | There are currently 18564.837 bitcoins offered at or under 99.91 USD, worth 1797672.6472 USD in total. | Data vintage: 0.0022 seconds | [05:42] |
ThickAsThieves | ;;bids 85 | [05:43] |
gribble | There are currently 20005.793 bitcoins demanded at or over 85.0 USD, worth 1792948.69182 USD in total. | Data vintage: 25.0206 seconds | [05:43] |
* | Now talking on #bitcoin-assets | [12:23] |
* | Topic for #bitcoin-assets is: http://bitcoin-assets.com/ | [12:23] |
* | Topic for #bitcoin-assets set by kakobrekla!~kako@unaffiliated/kakobrekla at Wed Mar 13 14:15:50 2013 | [12:23] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 1 @ 0.3451 BTC [-] | [12:23] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.8 BTC [+] | [12:24] |
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assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.38000001 BTC [-] | [12:33] |
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assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 1 @ 1.88 BTC [-] | [12:34] |
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ThickAsThieves | ;;bc,stats | [12:34] |
gribble | Current Blocks: 228740 | Current Difficulty: 6695826.282596251 | Next Difficulty At Block: 229823 | Next Difficulty In: 1083 blocks | Next Difficulty In About: 6 days, 2 hours, 50 minutes, and 50 seconds | Next Difficulty Estimate: 7311735.07761 | Estimated Percent Change: 9.1984 | [12:34] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 4 @ 0.8 = 3.2 BTC [+] | [12:42] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.79 BTC [-] | [12:53] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.78 BTC [-] | [12:53] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.771 BTC [-] | [12:54] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 5 @ 0.77 = 3.85 BTC [-] | [12:55] |
deadweasel | ;;ticker | [12:56] |
gribble | BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 91.30001, Best ask: 91.98999, Bid-ask spread: 0.68998, Last trade: 91.30000, 24 hour volume: 68373.91210877, 24 hour low: 85.50000, 24 hour high: 94.98000, 24 hour vwap: 90.17684 | [12:56] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2200 @ 0.00066394 = 1.4607 BTC [-] | [13:05] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7868 @ 0.00066409 = 5.2251 BTC [+] | [13:18] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1347 @ 0.00067673 = 0.9116 BTC [+] | [13:18] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 36 @ 0.00067674 = 0.0244 BTC [+] | [13:18] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 3 @ 0.37 = 1.11 BTC [+] | [13:44] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [COGNITIVE] 7 @ 0.1565 = 1.0955 BTC [+] | [13:47] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 0.8 = 1.6 BTC [+] | [13:59] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 2 @ 0.37 = 0.74 BTC [+] | [14:10] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [S.BBET-PT] 10 @ 0.00158 = 0.0158 BTC [+] | [14:13] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 18664 @ 0.00067674 = 12.6307 BTC [+] | [14:24] |
* | Troic (~troic@cpc18-pool13-2-0-cust39.15-1.cable.virginmedia.com) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [14:29] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 1 @ 0.485 BTC [+] | [14:34] |
mircea_popescu | so it turns out strongcoin was indeed fucked. | [14:34] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 20 @ 0.00399 = 0.0798 BTC [-] | [14:36] |
kakobrekla | 13:37.17 ( idioterna ) bitstamp guy | [14:38] |
kakobrekla | 13:37.18 ( idioterna ) http://us3.na.apcdn.com/full/98938.gif | [14:38] |
mircea_popescu | lol | [14:41] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [PAJKA.BOND] 1 @ 0.1059 BTC [+] | [14:43] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [O.USD.C092T] 600 @ 0.24766633 = 148.5998 BTC | [14:50] |
* | Troic (~troic@cpc18-pool13-2-0-cust39.15-1.cable.virginmedia.com) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [14:52] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 936 @ 0.00067685 = 0.6335 BTC [+] | [14:53] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1214 @ 0.00066805 = 0.811 BTC [-] | [14:53] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5901 @ 0.00067952 = 4.0098 BTC [+] | [15:13] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 299 @ 0.00067955 = 0.2032 BTC [+] | [15:13] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7586 @ 0.00066805 = 5.0678 BTC [-] | [15:18] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 912 @ 0.00066394 = 0.6055 BTC [-] | [15:18] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.81 BTC [+] | [15:23] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 0.8 = 1.6 BTC [-] | [15:23] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 1 @ 0.485 BTC [+] | [15:24] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 25400 @ 0.00067955 = 17.2606 BTC [+] | [15:25] |
* | hnz (~bla@dslb-178-001-192-104.pools.arcor-ip.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [15:28] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 22 @ 0.8 = 17.6 BTC [-] | [15:31] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 1 @ 0.37 BTC [+] | [15:32] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] [PAID] 196.89044015 BTC to 500`000`000 shares, 39 satoshi per share | [15:33] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 2 @ 0.37 = 0.74 BTC [+] | [15:38] |
* | greenglue (~textual@modemcable078.221-179-173.mc.videotron.ca) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [15:43] |
greenglue | Hello! | [15:43] |
greenglue | is there any sort of stock market for BTC? other than MPEx which costs 30BTC to join | [15:44] |
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ThickAsThieves | there a several | [15:47] |
ThickAsThieves | sec | [15:47] |
greenglue | such as... | [15:47] |
greenglue | ok thanks! | [15:47] |
ThickAsThieves | www.bitfunder.com | [15:48] |
ThickAsThieves | www.btct.co | [15:48] |
ThickAsThieves | www.litecoinglobal.com | [15:48] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5000 @ 0.00067953 = 3.3977 BTC [-] | [15:48] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 37 @ 0.00067955 = 0.0251 BTC [+] | [15:48] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2863 @ 0.00067955 = 1.9456 BTC [+] | [15:48] |
greenglue | do you use either one? | [15:48] |
ThickAsThieves | https://coinbr.com/ref?c=Q9gPSuUvYS | [15:48] |
ThickAsThieves | i use all of them | [15:48] |
ThickAsThieves | coinbr us actually a window into mpex | [15:48] |
ThickAsThieves | with lower more spread out fees | [15:48] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [B.YABMC] 1 @ 0.007701 BTC [-] | [15:49] |
greenglue | really? sounds interesting | [15:50] |
greenglue | so coiner is the best? | [15:50] |
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ThickAsThieves | there is no best | [15:52] |
ThickAsThieves | but coinbr is the most affordable way to do mpex | [15:52] |
ThickAsThieves | unless you are a big player | [15:52] |
greenglue | so the others have fees as well? | [15:52] |
ThickAsThieves | no hard fees | [15:52] |
ThickAsThieves | only transactional fees | [15:52] |
ThickAsThieves | which all exchanges have | [15:53] |
greenglue | yea | [15:53] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2050 @ 0.00067955 = 1.3931 BTC [+] | [15:55] |
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assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 1 @ 0.4999 BTC [+] | [16:03] |
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ThickAsThieves | wtb 5000+ SDICE pm if you have fair price (below current market asks) | [16:09] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.8 BTC [-] | [16:18] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 1 @ 0.0041 BTC [+] | [16:19] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 399 @ 0.0041 = 1.6359 BTC [+] | [16:20] |
pgp | question: MPEX support a socket based implementation for requesting trades from a certain seq number forward. Why isn't there something like that for quotes? | [16:20] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.41499999 BTC [+] | [16:23] |
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mircea_popescu | ThickAsThieves why not just put a bid ? | [16:37] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 25 @ 0.00409 = 0.1023 BTC [-] | [16:43] |
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taub | hm, maybe there wont be a big second downmove from here | [17:01] |
ThickAsThieves | i have bids up, was just fishing to see if there were any sellers inside the spread that dont have asks up | [17:04] |
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ThickAsThieves | it's all in bugpowder's pocket probly | [17:04] |
Bugpowder | Jesus | [17:05] |
Bugpowder | The market making not | [17:05] |
Bugpowder | Not | [17:05] |
Bugpowder | Bot | [17:05] |
Bugpowder | Yes | [17:05] |
Bugpowder | Historically it averages 12% return on notional exposure a month | [17:06] |
Bugpowder | But the variance is... High. | [17:06] |
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ThickAsThieves | ihave to imagine the bot algo has been tightened, or? | [17:07] |
Bugpowder | It does do explicit hedging | [17:07] |
Bugpowder | Mostly mircera | [17:07] |
Bugpowder | It's all in the financial statement | [17:08] |
Bugpowder | Read it | [17:08] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 0.8 = 1.6 BTC [-] | [17:09] |
ThickAsThieves | STOP | [17:09] |
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ThickAsThieves | fucking idiot | [17:09] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.39999999 BTC [-] | [17:10] |
OneMiner | +b PsychoticBoy | [17:10] |
TomServo | ^ | [17:10] |
ThickAsThieves | ^ | [17:10] |
Bugpowder | This was always possible, very clearly so | [17:10] |
ThickAsThieves | you dont have the right to spam | [17:10] |
ThickAsThieves | just ask your questions cleanly | [17:11] |
ThickAsThieves | and wait for answers | [17:11] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.4 BTC [+] | [17:11] |
Bugpowder | Based on August results | [17:11] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [PAJKA.BOND] 7 @ 0.106 = 0.742 BTC [+] | [17:11] |
OneMiner | There's no doubt that this is self aggrandizing trolling. If what you are saying is the truth or not you're trying to make yourself the center of attention. Knock it off. | [17:11] |
Bugpowder | Actual losses of principal were 19k of which mircrea provided 75% of | [17:11] |
OneMiner | Ya, just wanted to pass into. Like everything you've said about it and how your opinion matters so much. Don't flood. | [17:12] |
Bugpowder | That is not true | [17:12] |
Bugpowder | Look at past statements | [17:12] |
ThickAsThieves | my only question is, has the bot algo been adjusted to mitigate this exposure in the future | [17:13] |
Bugpowder | Mpex is a sideshow | [17:13] |
ThickAsThieves | or is this just how it is | [17:13] |
Bugpowder | Mpoe is the real profit engine | [17:13] |
ThickAsThieves | Pycho, you only lost a few hundred bux | [17:14] |
ThickAsThieves | cheap lesson | [17:14] |
Bugpowder | Well considering the max bond exposure is always less than the total capital, indefinitely. | [17:15] |
Bugpowder | Although the bot liquidity might go bye bye | [17:15] |
ThickAsThieves | i lost some too | [17:16] |
ThickAsThieves | i blame me | [17:16] |
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Bugpowder | I wish I had all the gains. | [17:16] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 4 @ 0.4 = 1.6 BTC [+] | [17:17] |
ThickAsThieves | but if MP lost that much covering the bonds, I'd like to hear if changes have been made to mitigate | [17:17] |
Bugpowder | Yeah, extremely well | [17:17] |
ThickAsThieves | Bug who are you talking to, i must have them on ignore | [17:17] |
Bugpowder | Lol | [17:17] |
Bugpowder | Anyway, if you dont understand the risks of being a bond holder, you should probably go back to the gloves kiddy pool | [17:18] |
Bugpowder | Glbse | [17:18] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 9 @ 0.00409 = 0.0368 BTC [-] | [17:19] |
ThickAsThieves | unignoring tiberius :( | [17:19] |
ThickAsThieves | ola | [17:20] |
Bugpowder | Anyway, have a wonderful weekend. | [17:20] |
Bugpowder | Because he didn't understand the real risks | [17:22] |
ThickAsThieves | MPs losses are a small portion of his assets, but I have to assume he will asjust exposure of the bot after this, no? | [17:22] |
Bugpowder | Mpoe bonds never seemed like a good value prop To me. | [17:23] |
ThickAsThieves | what does sdice have to do with this | [17:23] |
Bugpowder | Sdice has made | [17:23] |
Bugpowder | 70k | [17:23] |
ThickAsThieves | so | [17:23] |
ThickAsThieves | i thought you were chiding MP, not Erik | [17:23] |
ThickAsThieves | right, so rather than litter this chan with bitching, I'm just asking what I think is a sensible question, | [17:24] |
ThickAsThieves | will he protect the bot better | [17:24] |
mircea_popescu | [17:25] | |
mircea_popescu | bot hasn't been altered fundamentally since 2011 | [17:25] |
ThickAsThieves | thank you | [17:25] |
Bugpowder | I'm sure u could tweak the ago | [17:25] |
ThickAsThieves | MP, so you'll continue to take on the majority liability of the bot? | [17:26] |
Bugpowder | Ago | [17:26] |
Bugpowder | Algo | [17:26] |
mircea_popescu | Bugpowder the issue is that people make assumption based on the algo as is | [17:26] |
mircea_popescu | any tweak is fundamentally market intervention | [17:26] |
mircea_popescu | the correct fix is for bond ppl to set appropriatge interests | [17:26] |
mircea_popescu | not for me to dick around in the fabric of the universe. | [17:26] |
ThickAsThieves | but the sustainability of your setup is in danger if price continues to move violently | [17:26] |
mircea_popescu | ThickAsThieves i've always backstopped the bot, since day one. | [17:26] |
mircea_popescu | if not enough bonds sell i'm covering. | [17:26] |
ZedsterX | lol | [17:27] |
ThickAsThieves | i'm about to put you two back on ignore fml | [17:27] |
ThickAsThieves | Psycho, tib, grow up plz | [17:28] |
mircea_popescu | Bugpowder anyway, the variance would be fucking high. +400% a month fml. | [17:28] |
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Bugpowder | Yah | [17:28] |
OneMiner | Why is the whole internet a troll magnet? Be respectful, please. | [17:28] |
mircea_popescu | http://www.youtube.com/embed/LJP1DphOWPs << this guy... | [17:28] |
Bugpowder | And for me, if I don't see what I consider to be mispriced options, I'm not going to buy them | [17:29] |
OneMiner | Just don't be rude about it. There's no reason to be a jerk. | [17:29] |
ThickAsThieves | no, THIS guy http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bTwQXpGtTyE | [17:29] |
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Bugpowder | Where is the fraud here? | [17:29] |
OneMiner | Cool, say it once and be done. | [17:29] |
Bugpowder | Not seeing it. I'm seeing clear contracts traded and honored | [17:30] |
ZedsterX | can't we all just be freinds | [17:30] |
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ThickAsThieves | i dont see any fraud either | [17:30] |
Bugpowder | What about covered exposure are you pretending you don't understand? | [17:31] |
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OneMiner | I personally don't know and don't hold any of this asset. But I'm being prevented from listening to any intelligent talk about the issue by trolling.Wether you think you are justified or not. | [17:31] |
Bugpowder | You are clearly | [17:31] |
assbot | [MPEX] [O.USD.C092T] 575 @ 0.24943748 = 143.4266 BTC [+] | [17:31] |
Bugpowder | Heheh | [17:31] |
Bugpowder | More options!!! | [17:31] |
Bugpowder | Moar | [17:31] |
mircea_popescu | fucking hell am i going to be paying .6 btc worth 200 each on these ? | [17:32] |
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mircea_popescu | i tell you, running the options book is the worst fucking racket there is. when you get no trade you're depressed, when you do get trade you're worried. | [17:32] |
OneMiner | Oh lord. +b tiberiusiv He's just repeating himself over and over. | [17:33] |
OneMiner | It's a slow flood. | [17:33] |
mircea_popescu | OneMiner prolly ignore works better than banning people. | [17:33] |
OneMiner | *sigh* | [17:33] |
OneMiner | Ignore is confusing. Can't tell who is talking to who. | [17:34] |
mircea_popescu | this is true. | [17:34] |
ThickAsThieves | ignore doesnt work when people keep feeding the troll | [17:34] |
mircea_popescu | it DOES make unignored people look like muppets when they're in effect talking to themselves lol | [17:34] |
ThickAsThieves | tib has been polluting this channel all week | [17:34] |
Bugpowder | Ciuciu is back! I thought he was gone after robbing everyone | [17:34] |
ThickAsThieves | and was already banned once | [17:35] |
mircea_popescu | Bugpowder girl said he was there to warn everyone about her shirt | [17:35] |
ThickAsThieves | quit with the gypsy shit | [17:36] |
thestrin1puller | !ticker m S.MPOE | [17:37] |
assbot | [MPEX:S.MPOE] 1D: 0.00066393 / 0.00067378 / 0.00068314 (591559 shares, 398.58 BTC), 7D: 0.0006 / 0.00066121 / 0.00071369 (2268750 shares, 1,500.12 BTC), 30D: 0.0006 / 0.00073136 / 0.00078628 (17700228 shares, 12,945.38 BTC) | [17:37] |
thestrin1puller | oh nice | [17:37] |
mircea_popescu | wait it went up ? | [17:37] |
Bugpowder | Up Pre report | [17:37] |
thestrin1puller | yea | [17:37] |
assbot | [MPEX] [O.USD.C089T] 120 @ 0.26539875 = 31.8479 BTC | [17:38] |
Bugpowder | Not much action since? | [17:38] |
mircea_popescu | kinda incredible | [17:38] |
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thestrin1puller | there is a 29k loss for bondholders, maybe bondholders aren't mpoe holders | [17:38] |
mircea_popescu | then again... i guess i can see it. shareholders don't care, not their skin. made a 39 per which is not really much lower than usual | [17:38] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller they are lol. i hold most of mpoe and held most of the bond book >.< | [17:39] |
thestrin1puller | mircea_popescu: what's the plan to bring MPOE bot to MPOE bot 2.0 | [17:39] |
ThickAsThieves | how are bonds purchased, other than thrue the coinbr bitfunder assets? | [17:39] |
ThickAsThieves | through* | [17:40] |
mircea_popescu | ThickAsThieves you send no less than 100 btc to 1JPvucRfu3ZzEvfBUQTJwsxMrZjeTqD6zR ending in 888 (so like 100.00000888) after you've emailed me stating your beneficiary addy and desired % | [17:40] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller what'd 2.0 be like ? | [17:40] |
thestrin1puller | dunno, seems the bot has trouble with times of extreme volatility | [17:40] |
thestrin1puller | except for Feb | [17:41] |
mircea_popescu | listen, there's no way to make a bot so you always win. | [17:41] |
mircea_popescu | sometimes you'll take a beating. | [17:41] |
ThickAsThieves | sensible, but it seems odd to be THAT exposed in the algo | [17:41] |
mircea_popescu | but this is what it does. mpoe bot is in the market of buying exposure. | [17:42] |
mircea_popescu | so other people can sell their exposure and increase their safety. | [17:42] |
mircea_popescu | for this service it charges. | [17:42] |
ThickAsThieves | or pays | [17:42] |
ThickAsThieves | :) | [17:42] |
mircea_popescu | it's sort of like insurance, if you will. you pay a little every month | [17:42] |
mircea_popescu | when a hurricane hits the insurer pays through the teeth. | [17:42] |
thestrin1puller | how do bondholers then hedge their risk? | [17:42] |
thestrin1puller | bondholders* | [17:42] |
ThickAsThieves | buying options | [17:42] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller well they don't really. the idea is they're taking on risk for a high % | [17:42] |
mircea_popescu | mpoe-bonds are pretty much the highest reward / highest risk actgion in btc. | [17:43] |
mircea_popescu | by a wide margin, with a lot of depth etc. | [17:43] |
ThickAsThieves | the history of gained % seems a bit disproportionate to the risk | [17:43] |
mircea_popescu | if that's true then bondholders have been mispricing their % | [17:44] |
ThickAsThieves | you are learget bondholder | [17:44] |
ThickAsThieves | largest* | [17:44] |
thestrin1puller | as a last resort though | [17:44] |
ThickAsThieves | right? | [17:44] |
ThickAsThieves | i see | [17:44] |
mircea_popescu | well ya on this month. i rarely participate in the actual market. | [17:44] |
mircea_popescu | as in, i don't set a %, i just take whatever the max was | [17:44] |
asciilifeform | question: wtf do gypsies have to do with all of this? | [17:45] |
thestrin1puller | ... | [17:45] |
ThickAsThieves | thats not a question | [17:45] |
ThickAsThieves | its a troll | [17:45] |
DeaDTerra | WTS GSDPT shares and BTCQuick shares :) | [17:46] |
thestrin1puller | mircea_popescu: why not create a war chest? For times like thse. | [17:46] |
thestrin1puller | these* | [17:46] |
mircea_popescu | what's a warchest ? | [17:46] |
ThickAsThieves | a reserve | [17:47] |
thestrin1puller | is it unnecessary or what...? | [17:47] |
mircea_popescu | well, imo it would just muddy the waters. | [17:48] |
thestrin1puller | http://www.foxnews.com/tech/2013/03/29/digital-currency-bitcoin-surpasses-20-national-currencies-in-value/ - lol fox news | [17:48] |
mircea_popescu | atm mpoe is a 0 capital venture, which is a good thing. | [17:48] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9014 @ 0.00067281 = 6.0647 BTC [-] | [17:48] |
thestrin1puller | I've used the same model for some of my real life ventures, it's a very good model in that you view capital as "equipment" | [17:48] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 10 @ 0.48 = 4.8 BTC [-] | [17:49] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 6 @ 0.4994 = 2.9964 BTC [+] | [17:49] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 12 @ 0.4995 = 5.994 BTC [+] | [17:49] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 72 @ 0.4999 = 35.9928 BTC [+] | [17:49] |
thestrin1puller | however it's the riskiness involved in "borrowing" the capital (can it be paid back /w interest) | [17:49] |
Scrat | the trolling potential of this channel is quite high. how could I miss this | [17:50] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.41499998 BTC [+] | [17:51] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.41499999 BTC [+] | [17:53] |
thestrin1puller | trolls with no money have no purpose :P | [17:53] |
thestrin1puller | !ticker h HIM | [17:53] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK:HIM] 1D: 1.88000000 / 1.89 / 1.89500000 (3 shares, 5.67000000 BTC), 7D: 1.41000000 / 1.72614891 / 2.00000000 (182 shares, 314.15910103 BTC), 30D: 1.40000000 / 1.82208764 / 17.25000000 (716 shares, 1304.61475269 BTC) | [17:53] |
taub | I guess I can now go to my grave having contributed ~15k BTC of my own to the stabilisation of BTC <- was that big push you yesterday? :> | [17:56] |
mircea_popescu | [17:57] | |
Bugpowder | In terms of the main profit engine | [17:57] |
Bugpowder | Mpoe has provided most of the returns and volatility | [17:58] |
Bugpowder | Mpex is a steady stream | [17:58] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 5 @ 1.93 = 9.65 BTC [+] | [17:59] |
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mircea_popescu | yeah | [17:59] |
mircea_popescu | just like a successful marriage. | [18:00] |
mircea_popescu | mpex makes sure there's warm server soup on the table. | [18:00] |
benkay | isn't that what the help is for? | [18:00] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [KCIM] 1 @ 1.198 BTC [+] | [18:01] |
mircea_popescu | taub how you mean ? | [18:01] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 2 @ 0.41499998 = 0.83 BTC [-] | [18:04] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 4 @ 0.41499998 = 1.66 BTC [-] | [18:05] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 24 @ 0.37 = 8.88 BTC [+] | [18:10] |
taub | yesterday on mygox there suddenly was 15k on the bid | [18:10] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.7701 BTC [-] | [18:10] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 0.7701 = 1.5402 BTC [-] | [18:10] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 0.77 = 1.54 BTC [-] | [18:10] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 0.7653 BTC [-] | [18:10] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 6 @ 0.7605 = 4.563 BTC [-] | [18:10] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 8 @ 0.7603 = 6.0824 BTC [-] | [18:10] |
mircea_popescu | nah, that was about the options coverage. | [18:10] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 10 @ 0.7602 = 7.602 BTC [-] | [18:11] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 0.75 = 1.5 BTC [-] | [18:11] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 6 @ 0.75 = 4.5 BTC [-] | [18:11] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 4 @ 0.75 = 3 BTC [-] | [18:11] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 38 @ 0.74 = 28.12 BTC [-] | [18:11] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 5 @ 0.38 = 1.9 BTC [+] | [18:11] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [KCIM] 1 @ 1.1999 BTC [+] | [18:12] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.41499998 BTC [-] | [18:13] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 48 @ 0.00409 = 0.1963 BTC [-] | [18:14] |
taub | but mpex either needs more horrible traders | [18:14] |
taub | or you could start hedging your options | [18:14] |
taub | to bring down that big variance... | [18:14] |
taub | you're basically operating a bucket shop | [18:14] |
taub | but not enough suckers | [18:14] |
taub | who lose on their options | [18:15] |
mircea_popescu | i don't follow your logic. | [18:16] |
mircea_popescu | how is it a bucket shop ? | [18:16] |
taub | because you take the other side of each trade, if traders only win against you then you lose money | [18:17] |
mircea_popescu | that;'s not what a bucket shop is. | [18:17] |
taub | in forex i thought it was, a broker taht assumes most of their customers are gonna lose money | [18:17] |
mircea_popescu | but anyway : mpoe can't hedge. what it does is it allows others to hedge against it. | [18:17] |
mircea_popescu | let me find you the relevant article. | [18:17] |
mircea_popescu | http://mpex.co/faq.html#27 and next 2 | [18:18] |
benkay | would you elaborate on what a bucket shop is and why MPEx is not that? | [18:19] |
taub | the exchange i solid | [18:19] |
taub | the option bot is the worrysome part | [18:19] |
taub | *is solid | [18:19] |
benkay | i also do not understand the option bot's behavior. | [18:20] |
taub | mircea_popescu: if the underlying volume and depth cant support your options you shouldnt be offering them like that maybe ;) | [18:20] |
jurov | lol all the hate. inbetween, coinbr got possibly most deposits in one day in few hrs i was afk | [18:20] |
benkay | or its role. mircea_popescu, would you elaborate on the bot's role? | [18:20] |
jurov | this month | [18:20] |
mircea_popescu | ok let's see. | [18:20] |
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jurov | they will be processed shortly | [18:20] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 20 @ 0.4999 = 9.998 BTC [+] | [18:21] |
mircea_popescu | a bucket shop is a currently illegal, historically popular venue to take side bets on stocks. | [18:21] |
jurov | as well as mpoe dividend | [18:21] |
mircea_popescu | the operator would offer very high margin and trade with low net worth parties who couldn't participate in the real marketsd. | [18:21] |
mircea_popescu | mpex does offer stocks, but that's not under discussion here. as for the derivative trade, ie options, these are a different market from the underlying. | [18:22] |
taub | most forex brokers still operate like that | [18:22] |
mircea_popescu | so does that clarify the difference ? | [18:22] |
benkay | yes, that makes sense. and the bot? | [18:23] |
mircea_popescu | okay. the bot itself is a primary seller of safety in btc. | [18:23] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 10143 @ 0.00067879 = 6.885 BTC [+] | [18:23] |
benkay | I don't understand the phrase "seller of safety in btc". | [18:23] |
mircea_popescu | this is what it does. if i go buy safety somewhere else then i'm no longer PROVIDING it | [18:23] |
mircea_popescu | i'm just flipping it. | [18:24] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.41499999 BTC [+] | [18:24] |
mircea_popescu | benkay take the insurance example, because it is really very apt. | [18:24] |
mircea_popescu | if there's a flood plain and farmers work that plain, | [18:24] |
mircea_popescu | it would be beneficial for them to buy flood insurance. | [18:24] |
mircea_popescu | the only way to actually underwrite this is to have a lot of money, sign insurance policies with the farmers. | [18:24] |
taub | i dont think thats how real option issuer work tho | [18:24] |
mircea_popescu | when floods hit you pay. | [18:24] |
taub | you got the cpital | [18:24] |
taub | why not hedge | [18:24] |
mircea_popescu | the alternative would be to simply re-buy insurance somewhere else. but this isn't underwriting, this is simply trading. | [18:25] |
mircea_popescu | i'm not trading volatility, i'm actually providing the hedge endpoint. | [18:25] |
mircea_popescu | or if you prefer the example of the internet : second, third and higher tier providers BUY bandwidth. | [18:25] |
mircea_popescu | but the 1st level providers don't buy it, cause there's nobody to buy it from | [18:25] |
mircea_popescu | they just swap it. | [18:25] |
mircea_popescu | or in other words "create" it. | [18:26] |
mircea_popescu | taub cause there's nobody to hedge against. | [18:26] |
mircea_popescu | the moment i go in the market to hedge i'm basically releasing all the risk out there. this isn't waht mpoe does. mpoe just soaks up the risk. | [18:27] |
thestrin1puller | doesn't i say that in your faq? | [18:27] |
thestrin1puller | http://mpex.co/faq.html#27 http://mpex.co/faq.html#28 | [18:27] |
benkay | thanks mp, i understand the mechanism a little better now. what I still don't understand is what the MPOE bot is up to. | [18:27] |
thestrin1puller | "You can't pull yourself up by your breeches and for the very same reason you can't have everybody in the market hedge. Someone needs to provide the support everyone else relies on to hedge. I'm that someone." - MP | [18:27] |
benkay | we are engaging in a discussion of this topic, yes | [18:28] |
mircea_popescu | benkay up to as in how you mean ? | [18:28] |
benkay | no as in like wtf is it actually doing | [18:28] |
mircea_popescu | it makes bids and asks for the options. | [18:28] |
benkay | how does it decide where to place its bids? | [18:29] |
mircea_popescu | that's proprietary. it has an algo. | [18:29] |
benkay | so it behaves as just another trader? | [18:29] |
mircea_popescu | pretty much yea | [18:29] |
benkay | providing liquidity to the market? | [18:30] |
thestrin1puller | why isn't the bot quoting right now? | [18:30] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller isnt it ? | [18:30] |
mircea_popescu | benkay yep | [18:30] |
thestrin1puller | nvm it's back up | [18:31] |
thestrin1puller | site was lying to me | [18:31] |
thestrin1puller | !ticker m ^OIX | [18:31] |
assbot | [MPEX:^OIX] 1D: 0 / 0 / 0 (0 shares, 0 BTC), 7D: 55.14018691 / 85.06423935 / 85.06556611 (111010 shares, 22,104.19 BTC), 30D: 0 / 0 / 0 (0 shares, 0 BTC) | [18:31] |
mircea_popescu | oix is fucked because of the mpsic change | [18:31] |
thestrin1puller | oh | [18:32] |
mircea_popescu | it will make sense again in about a week. | [18:32] |
taub | they are binary options yea? dont think i quite understand their pricing from 0 to 1 | [18:32] |
thestrin1puller | all the way up to 200 I see :) | [18:32] |
mircea_popescu | taub not binary. american style btc settled. | [18:32] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller ya, there's a notice. | [18:32] |
benkay | what exchange-proprietary information does the bot get access to? | [18:33] |
mircea_popescu | none. | [18:33] |
benkay | obviously you have to say that. | [18:33] |
mircea_popescu | all it sees is the btc/usd history | [18:33] |
mircea_popescu | which is public | [18:34] |
thestrin1puller | am I the only one who feels bad for this month's bond holders? | [18:34] |
bitesak | thanks mp for the service you provide; | [18:34] |
jurov | mircea_popescu: exercises are not public | [18:34] |
mircea_popescu | bitesak i'd normally say my pleasure... but this month was a little rough. | [18:34] |
mircea_popescu | jurov the bot doesn't see exercises tho | [18:35] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller no, i feel bad for them too. | [18:35] |
thestrin1puller | I guess we can't always have months like Jan | [18:35] |
bitesak | do you adjust the algo going forward to take into consideration what causes big losses? | [18:35] |
mircea_popescu | nope. | [18:35] |
* | Bugpowder has quit (Remote host closed the connection) | [18:36] |
jurov | no replies on btctalk so far... but we'll see when ppl come to bitfunder to receive only 0.081 pre share | [18:36] |
mircea_popescu | jurov scam | [18:36] |
thestrin1puller | what was the % loss for the PT jurov ? | [18:36] |
thestrin1puller | 40? | [18:37] |
jurov | wat? | [18:37] |
mircea_popescu | like 25% i'd expect | [18:37] |
jurov | it's 1:1 to MPOE | [18:37] |
mircea_popescu | 23 | [18:37] |
jurov | yes | [18:37] |
thestrin1puller | "All complaints of bondholder loss should be directed to Bugpowder who now holds your money" | [18:37] |
mircea_popescu | ahahaha | [18:37] |
thestrin1puller | :D | [18:37] |
jurov | heh, i made some myself, tooo | [18:37] |
mircea_popescu | do you even know that ? lol | [18:38] |
mircea_popescu | maybe he's just talkin'. | [18:38] |
mircea_popescu | poor guy lol. one day he's claiming market success like what... 99% of all internet ppl in financial rooms | [18:38] |
mircea_popescu | the next they ANGRY MOB WITH PITCHFORKS | [18:38] |
thestrin1puller | Maybe he'll start a company to benefit bitcoin (yay optimism LOL) | [18:39] |
jurov | he;'ll benefit tesla motors | [18:40] |
thestrin1puller | tiberiusiv: option writers make the most money when there is no volatility in the underlying security | [18:40] |
thestrin1puller | so overtime MPOE will be profitable to bondholers | [18:41] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 3 @ 0.41499998 = 1.245 BTC [-] | [18:41] |
thestrin1puller | !ticker m S.DICE | [18:41] |
assbot | [MPEX:S.DICE] 1D: 0.00337335 / 0.00368422 / 0.0039999 (14099 shares, 51.94 BTC), 7D: 0.0031 / 0.00338624 / 0.0045 (675573 shares, 2,287.66 BTC), 30D: 0.00300001 / 0.00449093 / 0.00637777 (1675373 shares, 7,524.00 BTC) | [18:41] |
jurov | thestrin1puller: he knows everything, no need to explain anything to him. and ofc, thars NO LIQUIDITY | [18:41] |
jurov | NO POK | [18:41] |
mircea_popescu | at all ?! | [18:42] |
thestrin1puller | Not sure if tiberiusiv is serious, or just trolling. | [18:42] |
thestrin1puller | Up until this month MPOE bonds were profitable long term (all profits + all losses > 0) | [18:42] |
jurov | tiberiusiv: ofc, if mp goes out of money he stops sellin options. happened before already | [18:43] |
thestrin1puller | I know they are, this month they are, just like an insurance company loses money during a natural disaster... | [18:43] |
jurov | tiberiusiv: those who profited by buying calls see the credibility soar :) | [18:44] |
thestrin1puller | insurance companies also have reserves they invest to hedge that risk... | [18:44] |
thestrin1puller | that's not up to mircea_popescu it's up to his bondholders | [18:45] |
thestrin1puller | i feel like you aren't listening | [18:45] |
thestrin1puller | insurance companies make losses all the time... | [18:45] |
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benkay | that's an expansive claim. | [18:46] |
thestrin1puller | this is where he lists of AIG among others | [18:46] |
thestrin1puller | BOOYA | [18:46] |
thestrin1puller | I'm so predictive | [18:46] |
thestrin1puller | no he's not | [18:46] |
thestrin1puller | you keep saying that like it's fact | [18:46] |
thestrin1puller | this is one exception! | [18:47] |
thestrin1puller | 1 month != all months | [18:47] |
benkay | what sheet, tiberiusiv? | [18:47] |
thestrin1puller | That made me LOL | [18:47] |
jurov | tiberiusiv: there's mircea's private activities like MPHF | [18:48] |
bitesak | mphf? | [18:48] |
jurov | = shorting GLBSEsque assets | [18:48] |
thestrin1puller | tiberiusiv: why are you making claims with out evidence | [18:48] |
thestrin1puller | mircea_popescu: are ALL your financials public knowledge? lets clear this up | [18:49] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller no. i paid twennyfive dollars for a girls pair of stockings out of pocket yesterday. | [18:49] |
mircea_popescu | what do you mean "all your financials" ?! | [18:50] |
KRS1 | lol | [18:50] |
benkay | one could ask | [18:50] |
benkay | hey mircea | [18:50] |
benkay | how many months of 15k losses can MPEx/Mircea Popescu sustain? | [18:51] |
thestrin1puller | mircea_popescu: it seems tiberiusiv knows your financials because they are all public | [18:51] |
mircea_popescu | um | [18:51] |
jurov | thestrin1puller i told ya, he knows everything | [18:51] |
mircea_popescu | do you mean polimedia srl ? | [18:51] |
benkay | i suppose. does polimedia srl's corporate structure provide for funding MPEx? | [18:51] |
mircea_popescu | nope. | [18:52] |
mircea_popescu | it's a romanian-based llc (srl in romanian) that i own ~99% of | [18:52] |
benkay | then, how many months of 15kbtc losses can the exchange sustain? | [18:52] |
mircea_popescu | at least a year. | [18:52] |
thestrin1puller | mircea_popescu you make a bunch of people rich this month, and people still complain... | [18:53] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller ya well, the thing is this : mpoe and mpex are VERY complex, well thought out intricately designed gems. | [18:53] |
mircea_popescu | "people" have been busily ignoring it for the past year or two | [18:53] |
mircea_popescu | meanwhile it's been taking over. | [18:53] |
mircea_popescu | now "people" are confronted with the rude awakening of reality. kinda bound to be a little thrashing about. | [18:53] |
thestrin1puller | ;;bc,24hprc | [18:54] |
gribble | Error: "bc,24hprc" is not a valid command. | [18:54] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 4 @ 0.792 = 3.168 BTC [+] | [18:54] |
thestrin1puller | ;;ticker | [18:54] |
gribble | BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 90.49001, Best ask: 90.50000, Bid-ask spread: 0.00999, Last trade: 90.50000, 24 hour volume: 51005.98011536, 24 hour low: 85.50000, 24 hour high: 94.98000, 24 hour vwap: 90.64316 | [18:54] |
bitesak | Roumania is taking Europe over__ | [18:54] |
benkay | ooh. what's the difference between MPOE and MPEx? | [18:54] |
jurov | MPOE is the options trades, MPEx is the exchange | [18:54] |
thestrin1puller | Hmm. mircea_popescu could one externally hedge risks of being a bondholder with other investments no? | [18:54] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [KCIM] 7 @ 1.198 = 8.386 BTC [-] | [18:55] |
jurov | thestrin1puller hedge them by buying options :D | [18:55] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller like how ? | [18:55] |
mircea_popescu | bitesak lol considering the state of finances everywhere in europe vs romania... that's not quite so far off. | [18:56] |
thestrin1puller | mircea_popescu: for instance I put x BTC in Bonds during a bad month, but some other investment say, S.DICE growth, effectively neutralizes my bond losses | [18:56] |
mircea_popescu | yeah, but these aren't related | [18:56] |
thestrin1puller | i know but I'm saying diversification is one solution no? | [18:56] |
mircea_popescu | to hedge you would need things which for good reason move in opposing directions. | [18:56] |
mircea_popescu | diversification certainly is a solution, yes. | [18:56] |
jurov | thestrin1puller: BTC growth itself effectively neutralized your bond losses, don't forget | [18:56] |
mircea_popescu | if you have 105 btc and put 100 btc into mpoe bonds expect a wild ride. | [18:57] |
mircea_popescu | jurov that is a point, in fiat terms the bondholders made money :D | [18:57] |
mircea_popescu | actually... this is interesting. from a purely fiat perspective mpoe bonds may be one of the best btc-investments you can make. | [18:57] |
thestrin1puller | unless you have an august month | [18:58] |
bitesak | IÂ have been saying that for sometime in Switzerland :) | [18:58] |
thestrin1puller | That was just... | [18:58] |
thestrin1puller | August was terrible | [18:58] |
mircea_popescu | yeah. | [18:59] |
jurov | tiberiusiv, you forget there's someone who actually sees your portfolio and call you on your BS | [19:00] |
jurov | and sdice? | [19:01] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller thinking more about your question : it would seem to me there is some relation here: | [19:02] |
* | benkay has quit (Quit: benkay) | [19:02] |
mircea_popescu | MPOE bonds make money on calm fx market, lose money on volatility. | [19:02] |
mircea_popescu | places like mtgox make money on volatility | [19:03] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.DICE] 1750 @ 0.0039999 = 6.9998 BTC [+] | [19:03] |
mircea_popescu | so maybe the best play is a weighted binary portofolio, bonds and mtgox shares | [19:03] |
mircea_popescu | it's moot practically as they're not listed, but since we're discussing theory. | [19:03] |
jurov | and options | [19:03] |
mircea_popescu | jurov yeah, you could be trading options too | [19:03] |
taub | mtgox makes money on volume, not volatility | [19:03] |
mircea_popescu | taub those'd be related tho | [19:04] |
taub | they dont have to | [19:04] |
mircea_popescu | also true | [19:04] |
jurov | tiberiusiv, i actually did it once when everyone was like "half reward is coming, brace ur" | [19:04] |
jurov | i did a split, sold both puts and calls | [19:05] |
* | fdas (c2964189@gateway/web/freenode/ip.194.150.65.137) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [19:05] |
jurov | and indeed nothing happened then | [19:05] |
mircea_popescu | lol | [19:05] |
jurov | but won't dare to repeat it | [19:05] |
ThickAsThieves | mp, obv you should be hedging using litecoin | [19:05] |
ThickAsThieves | :) | [19:05] |
taub | who was pirate | [19:05] |
mircea_popescu | i guess btc is still very much a contrarian market. whatever the public consensus is, it's prolly wrong. | [19:05] |
mircea_popescu | taub http://polimedia.us/trilema/2012/the-bitcoin-drama-timeline/ | [19:05] |
mircea_popescu | good start point for the history of btc financials. | [19:06] |
mircea_popescu | (not implying pirate was such a thing) | [19:06] |
mircea_popescu | hey, who here was from slovenia ? | [19:07] |
jurov | that kakobrekla fella | [19:07] |
mircea_popescu | kakobrekla what's it like there ? i can't make sense of all the bs i'm reading. | [19:07] |
kakobrekla | about what | [19:08] |
jurov | about impending doom | [19:08] |
kakobrekla | fyi italy is in yurop and you worry bout slovenia? | [19:08] |
jurov | slovenia to sunk into adriatic, austrians want some coastline :D | [19:08] |
mircea_popescu | is maribor going under ? | [19:09] |
kakobrekla | i dont think so | [19:09] |
thestrin1puller | S.DICE should be skyrocketing | [19:10] |
thestrin1puller | !ticker m S.DICE | [19:10] |
assbot | [MPEX:S.DICE] 1D: 0.00337335 / 0.00371908 / 0.0039999 (15849 shares, 58.94 BTC), 7D: 0.0031 / 0.00338783 / 0.0045 (677323 shares, 2,294.66 BTC), 30D: 0.00300001 / 0.00449042 / 0.00637777 (1677123 shares, 7,531.00 BTC) | [19:10] |
kakobrekla | why again? | [19:10] |
thestrin1puller | Based on the rise in PT prices | [19:10] |
thestrin1puller | the original source is still a few % lower than PT price | [19:10] |
ThickAsThieves | temporal | [19:10] |
* | brianethier_ (171d7e66@gateway/web/freenode/ip.23.29.126.102) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [19:13] |
brianethier_ | With a lot of headecks, we managed to put together another site from wich you can buy Amazon Gift Cards with Bitcoins. You no longer need an account, it’s much simpler to use now. We received a lot of complaints that user accounts are not necessary so we removed them. We are still a bit rugged, but donations are open so you can donate (if you want to) so we can improve the site. The new site is at: http://amazonbitco | [19:13] |
thestrin1puller | mircea_popescu: it seems you win again ;) I would say, all and all for a month that is a beating, you have come out relatively unscathed... | [19:13] |
* | assbot sets ban on *!*@gateway/web/freenode/ip.23.29.126.102 | [19:14] |
* | assbot has kicked brianethier_ from #bitcoin-assets (Bye.) | [19:14] |
ThickAsThieves | fail spam | [19:14] |
mircea_popescu | lol wtf is with people. | [19:14] |
mircea_popescu | why can't he participate in the chan like normal human beings. | [19:14] |
jurov | what are headecks? | [19:15] |
jurov | something like tinfoil hats, just for stupidity? | [19:15] |
ThickAsThieves | landing pads for space cadets | [19:16] |
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ThickAsThieves | https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=101902.msg1705462#msg1705462 | [19:17] |
ThickAsThieves | hints of hints of news | [19:17] |
jurov | his previous post is also interesting | [19:18] |
jurov | not US resident anymore | [19:19] |
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ThickAsThieves | yep | [19:19] |
ThickAsThieves | although i think that has been a rumour for a bit | [19:19] |
KRS1 | [19:23] | |
KRS1 | [19:23] | |
KRS1 | I thought BTC wont go through deflation period until almost mined up | [19:23] |
KRS1 | maybe i dont understand the context..but.. | [19:23] |
KRS1 | from what I understand about economics, like inflation deflation is not necessarily good | [19:24] |
mircea_popescu | http://polimedia.us/trilema/2013/options-and-leverage-a-case-study/ | [19:25] |
mircea_popescu | just calculated the implicit leverage for march. | [19:25] |
mircea_popescu | 5.02x | [19:25] |
KRS1 | so this is a good case of deflation | [19:25] |
KRS1 | ok | [19:26] |
ThickAsThieves | alternative idea for channel bannings: offer ignore bounties, pay .001 to anyone that ignored the desired person, if you are caught responding to that troll you pay .1 penalty, profits go to assbot dev | [19:26] |
mircea_popescu | KRS1 bitcoin inflation is about 8% pa atm | [19:26] |
ThickAsThieves | sorta like a swear jar? | [19:26] |
KRS1 | How do you get that figure mircea popescu | [19:26] |
KRS1 | thats low as far as im understanding it and not bad either | [19:27] |
mircea_popescu | KRS1 25 btc x 6 blocks x 24 hours in a day | [19:27] |
mircea_popescu | compare to the total btc in circulation | [19:27] |
KRS1 | ic | [19:27] |
mircea_popescu | annualize somehow | [19:27] |
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KRS1 | these are all good indicators i think | [19:27] |
mircea_popescu | (the exact way is left as an exercise to the user, seeing how depending on how you do it you get diff results) | [19:27] |
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KRS1 | ok thank you guys- | [19:29] |
jurov | CoinBr.MPBPT-O paid out, 0.07679501 BTC per share (nominal value 0.1 BTC) | [19:36] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 0.795 = 1.59 BTC [+] | [19:45] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 4 @ 0.7999 = 3.1996 BTC [+] | [19:45] |
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bitesak | ;;ticker | [19:49] |
gribble | BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 90.80001, Best ask: 90.98999, Bid-ask spread: 0.18998, Last trade: 90.98999, 24 hour volume: 49893.62640319, 24 hour low: 85.50000, 24 hour high: 94.98000, 24 hour vwap: 90.70184 | [19:49] |
Diablo-D3 | still not 100 | [19:51] |
toffoo | prolly not going to be over easter holiday weekend | [19:52] |
toffoo | gotta wait for the snail banks to open again to get more fresh buying funds into the market | [19:53] |
mircea_popescu | that's a point | [19:53] |
ThickAsThieves | surpised it's not moving down really | [19:55] |
ThickAsThieves | ;;bids 85 | [19:55] |
gribble | There are currently 16264.821 bitcoins demanded at or over 85.0 USD, worth 1422076.42737 USD in total. | Data vintage: 0.0064 seconds | [19:55] |
toffoo | looks like maybe litecoin is the one that's rockin to new highs these days | [19:55] |
ThickAsThieves | ;;bids 88 | [19:55] |
gribble | There are currently 6698.9219 bitcoins demanded at or over 88.0 USD, worth 596157.374234 USD in total. | Data vintage: 5.3952 seconds | [19:55] |
ThickAsThieves | ;;asks 96 | [19:55] |
gribble | There are currently 11822.091 bitcoins offered at or under 96.0 USD, worth 1113104.50621 USD in total. | Data vintage: 21.2181 seconds | [19:55] |
ThickAsThieves | ;;asks 93 | [19:55] |
gribble | There are currently 3311.6116 bitcoins offered at or under 93.0 USD, worth 306592.030934 USD in total. | Data vintage: 33.4255 seconds | [19:55] |
ThickAsThieves | heh | [19:55] |
toffoo | maybe litecoin will cross $1 before bitcoin crosses $100 | [19:56] |
ThickAsThieves | maybe | [19:56] |
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mircea_popescu | i fail to grok how litecoin can be worth 1 | [20:02] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 971 @ 0.00067327 = 0.6537 BTC [-] | [20:03] |
toffoo | well it's worth $0.81 right now ... | [20:03] |
toffoo | i'd managed to ignore it all all other *coins until now, | [20:03] |
toffoo | but this month it has gotten my attention | [20:04] |
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ThickAsThieves | all in all I'd have been better off not dabbling in LTC at all, other than that it introduced me to Deprived, who's pretty interesting | [20:06] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 1 @ 1.94999999 BTC [+] | [20:06] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 2 @ 1.97999999 = 3.96 BTC [+] | [20:06] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 1 @ 1.98 BTC [+] | [20:06] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 1 @ 1.99999999 BTC [+] | [20:06] |
* | DeaDTerra (~DeaDTerra@226.169.216.81.static.apv.siw.siwnet.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [20:06] |
thestrin1puller | OH SNAP HIM | [20:06] |
thestrin1puller | I KNEW IT | [20:06] |
kakobrekla | ThickAsThieves why would you be better off | [20:06] |
thestrin1puller | MWAHAHAHAHA | [20:06] |
* | DeaDTerra is now known as Guest22312 | [20:06] |
* | Guest22312 is now known as DeaDTerra1 | [20:07] |
mircea_popescu | i bought some on like the 5th | [20:07] |
mircea_popescu | but then sold it off. apparently i sold too soon | [20:07] |
mircea_popescu | but srsly wtf. | [20:07] |
kakobrekla | yeah i played the game too | [20:07] |
kakobrekla | made 100% in 3 days or so and never looked back | [20:07] |
mircea_popescu | yeah. something of the sort. | [20:07] |
mircea_popescu | but i certainly didn't get out at the top. wtf lol | [20:08] |
toffoo | well, my investment thesis is something like the following: | [20:08] |
kakobrekla | i was riding 0.07 to 0.15 | [20:08] |
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toffoo | i've always followed pretty closely the effect of difficulty on bitcoin prices, | [20:08] |
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toffoo | and now with ASICs moving that to the moon, | [20:08] |
taub | hah | [20:09] |
toffoo | the feeling is that a lot of the GPU mining farms will drop out and start mining litecoin, | [20:09] |
mircea_popescu | toffoo so ? | [20:09] |
toffoo | which will cause it's difficulty to start rising, | [20:09] |
kakobrekla | it still is useless | [20:09] |
toffoo | which it has, | [20:09] |
toffoo | and therefore market prices are following | [20:09] |
kakobrekla | well you can invest in eskimo bobs ART and thats about it | [20:09] |
mircea_popescu | hum | [20:09] |
mircea_popescu | kakobrekla o totally forgot. how's the clay business i wonder | [20:10] |
kakobrekla | hes gonna be klin millioanare | [20:10] |
toffoo | try to find a chart of litecoin difficulty the past few weeks | [20:10] |
mircea_popescu | you mean klim ? | [20:10] |
ThickAsThieves | basically, i started to learn the price manipulation patterns in BTC-e for LTC, | [20:10] |
ThickAsThieves | and joined them | [20:10] |
ThickAsThieves | did fine | [20:10] |
ThickAsThieves | then BTC blew up a bajillion % higher | [20:11] |
ThickAsThieves | and i was holding the bag | [20:11] |
mircea_popescu | aww | [20:11] |
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mircea_popescu | i'd kinda short ltc at 1 dollar each | [20:11] |
ThickAsThieves | about a 12btc haircut for me that day | [20:11] |
kakobrekla | i ment kiln | [20:11] |
kakobrekla | for pottery? | [20:12] |
kakobrekla | nvm | [20:12] |
mircea_popescu | lolk | [20:12] |
ThickAsThieves | but i covered a bit by sniping underpriced assets at ltcglobal | [20:12] |
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ThickAsThieves | i even got props from Deprived for a couple of my moves :) | [20:12] |
mircea_popescu | haha cool | [20:12] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.DICE] 430 @ 0.003512 = 1.5102 BTC [-] | [20:13] |
* | Guest22312 is now known as DeaDTerra1 | [20:13] |
mircea_popescu | you know in retrospect... that s.dice ipo price was judicious | [20:13] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3000 @ 0.00066871 = 2.0061 BTC [-] | [20:13] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 36 @ 0.005455 = 0.1964 BTC [+] | [20:15] |
mircea_popescu | wait what ?! | [20:16] |
mircea_popescu | !ticker btctc s.dice-pt | [20:16] |
assbot | [BTCT:S.DICE-PT] 1D: 0.00459 / 0.00521 / 0.005455 (81 shares, 0.4 BTC), 7D: 0.00366 / 0.00452 / 0.0055 (4499 shares, 20.3 BTC), 30D: 0.00361 / 0.00525 / 0.00643 (30048 shares, 157.8 BTC) | [20:16] |
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mircea_popescu | there's a 70% gap ?! | [20:17] |
jurov | but whole order book is 13btc bids, 18btc asks... not worth bugging deadterra about | [20:19] |
ThickAsThieves | thats Nam's | [20:19] |
ThickAsThieves | not DT's | [20:19] |
ThickAsThieves | oh | [20:19] |
ThickAsThieves | nvm | [20:19] |
ThickAsThieves | you meant to arb | [20:20] |
ThickAsThieves | no | [20:20] |
jurov | haha i see now... and GSDPT is copletely elsewhere | [20:20] |
mircea_popescu | 70% of 13 btc is like 100 bux lol | [20:20] |
jurov | the same exchange, yet one would need to engage two ops to arbitrage | [20:20] |
mircea_popescu | 1000 | [20:20] |
jurov | why they just can't list one pt together | [20:21] |
ThickAsThieves | i like multiple | [20:21] |
jurov | why? | [20:21] |
jurov | for lulz? | [20:21] |
mircea_popescu | somebody should plot the various pt price vs mpex one day | [20:21] |
mircea_popescu | it'd make one hell of a grap | [20:21] |
ThickAsThieves | well in the case of Nam's | [20:21] |
ThickAsThieves | it's not successful enough | [20:21] |
ThickAsThieves | to provide a lot of arb | [20:21] |
ThickAsThieves | but in the end there has alway been variance between each PT | [20:22] |
ThickAsThieves | enough to arb | [20:22] |
ThickAsThieves | i'm sold out of Nam's though | [20:22] |
ThickAsThieves | because it got a premium | [20:22] |
ThickAsThieves | from low uptake | [20:22] |
ThickAsThieves | now not enough people in it | [20:22] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2239 @ 0.00066871 = 1.4972 BTC [-] | [20:23] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4122 @ 0.00066869 = 2.7563 BTC [-] | [20:23] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 239 @ 0.00066868 = 0.1598 BTC [-] | [20:23] |
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fdas | toffoo, I have reasoned the same about LTC | [20:34] |
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thestrin1puller | http://bitcoinity.org/assets/fail.jpg YES! | [20:36] |
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jurov | have you looked to past performance? not every month is his exposure needed. | [20:42] |
jurov | and if btc goes up twice again next month, some 20% loss wouldn't be so tragic | [20:44] |
jurov | well. so there will be no options. that is the point. | [20:44] |
jurov | happened already, no prob | [20:44] |
ThickAsThieves | ;;bids 0 | [20:44] |
gribble | There are currently 34833411 bitcoins demanded at or over 0.0 USD, worth 10285047.2026 USD in total. | Data vintage: 55.2628 seconds | [20:44] |
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thestrin1puller | That's more bitcoins than exist... | [20:51] |
thestrin1puller | LOL | [20:51] |
thestrin1puller | tiberiusiv: is an irate bondholder! | [20:51] |
thestrin1puller | pleaes direct all complaints to Bugpowder | [20:51] |
thestrin1puller | and you are? | [20:52] |
thestrin1puller | SO MR. tiberiusiv you know everything? | [20:52] |
thestrin1puller | you know what the Oracle says about men who say they know everything | [20:52] |
thestrin1puller | HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA | [20:53] |
thestrin1puller | they are | [20:53] |
thestrin1puller | You don't read enough. | [20:53] |
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benkay | what would your preferred implementation be, tiberiusiv? | [21:01] |
ThickAsThieves | tib, by selling bonds he's already letting people underwrite the options | [21:04] |
ThickAsThieves | he's considers it an investment | [21:04] |
ThickAsThieves | he | [21:04] |
ThickAsThieves | you dont think that him losing XXXXX btc is a test of his risk management? | [21:06] |
ThickAsThieves | he's not betting | [21:06] |
ThickAsThieves | maybe he's trying to create a market | [21:06] |
ThickAsThieves | of a new order of magnitude in size | [21:06] |
ThickAsThieves | he spends 15k today, maybe makes 150k next year | [21:07] |
ThickAsThieves | i'm done, you can beat on him all you want | [21:08] |
ThickAsThieves | he has plenty | [21:09] |
ThickAsThieves | to risk this investment | [21:09] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 17450 @ 0.00066868 = 11.6685 BTC [-] | [21:13] |
ThickAsThieves | sry tib, gotta turn you off for a while | [21:14] |
jurov | lol that's just some assertions, not truth | [21:17] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 1 @ 0.00323 BTC [-] | [21:23] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 282 @ 0.00323 = 0.9109 BTC [-] | [21:23] |
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jurov | obv if you come to btc in a "i know shit" fashion you'll get burned | [21:28] |
jurov | i started trying options only after few months observations, went off well enough so far | [21:29] |
jurov | no, you're not payng attention, i do. with iDiffs. | [21:30] |
jurov | adn i do write mpoe options occassionally, too | [21:31] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5000 @ 0.00067326 = 3.3663 BTC [+] | [21:31] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 11529 @ 0.00067327 = 7.7621 BTC [+] | [21:31] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 543 @ 0.00067469 = 0.3664 BTC [+] | [21:31] |
Diablo-D3 | wtf is ThickAsThieves even talking about | [21:31] |
jurov | Diablo-D3: perhaps you ignore tibby? | [21:33] |
Diablo-D3 | I do | [21:33] |
Diablo-D3 | the guy is a nutjob | [21:33] |
jurov | so, thick was chatting with him | [21:33] |
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jurov | sauce? | [21:35] |
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kakobrekla | yeah | [21:37] |
kakobrekla | the sad part is he made more than 95% too | [21:37] |
jurov | just coinbr-managed holdings are way more than whatever you're insinuating here. | [21:37] |
jurov | and i have no illusion that even all users combined it's one of smaller players here | [21:37] |
jurov | *all coinbr users together i mean | [21:38] |
ThickAsThieves | sry diablo, i got sucked into th vortex, tib is back on ignore now | [21:39] |
Diablo-D3 | what is he doing anyhow? | [21:40] |
jurov | sorry tibby, my insanity threshold is clearly lower than average, but you just crossed it | [21:40] |
jurov | [21:40] | |
Diablo-D3 | mircea doesnt have more than 1000 BTC so clearly false | [21:40] |
kakobrekla | lol | [21:40] |
ThickAsThieves | he lost it all on ltc | [21:40] |
jurov | ignored. | [21:40] |
ThickAsThieves | yuss | [21:41] |
kakobrekla | right. | [21:41] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3450 @ 0.00066869 = 2.307 BTC [-] | [21:42] |
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thestrin1puller | tiberiusiv: keep talking you're making the stock shortable | [21:42] |
kakobrekla | tiberiusiv just make sure you are on the other side of the stick and more welth to you no' | [21:43] |
kakobrekla | i dunno why you complain | [21:43] |
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kakobrekla | stop troling already | [21:43] |
kakobrekla | for srs | [21:43] |
kakobrekla | its good for nothing | [21:43] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1574 @ 0.00066869 = 1.0525 BTC [-] | [21:47] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 14726 @ 0.00066868 = 9.847 BTC [-] | [21:47] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [O.USD.C200T] 200 @ 0.05079251 = 10.1585 BTC | [22:05] |
jurov | http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1bbgtr/this_is_how_serious_business_is_done_27k_loss/ | [22:07] |
jurov | ^^ let's see what will happen | [22:08] |
mircea_popescu | ima add 1mn btc buttons to mpex. | [22:08] |
mircea_popescu | lol jurov where did you find that "fu" pic of mine | [22:09] |
jurov | lmao reddit found it itself | [22:09] |
mircea_popescu | it's like... "smug. let me show you how it's done" | [22:10] |
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arij | is there a guide for options trading | [22:12] |
arij | seems so confusing :/ | [22:12] |
jurov | https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=67302.0 | [22:13] |
mircea_popescu | arij http://polimedia.us/trilema/2013/options-and-leverage-a-case-study/ | [22:13] |
arij | thank you | [22:13] |
mircea_popescu | click on the first link nm | [22:13] |
mircea_popescu | jurov is too fast | [22:13] |
arij | heh | [22:13] |
mircea_popescu | heh i wonder where draco isd | [22:13] |
mircea_popescu | ;;seen draco49 | [22:13] |
gribble | I have not seen draco49. | [22:13] |
jurov | but the linked page from that thread is missing... since it's referenced much, maybe MPOE-PR can update it | [22:14] |
thestrin1puller | mircea still owes me trilema credits :( | [22:14] |
jurov | using MKOPT/SPLIT instead of email | [22:14] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller how so ? | [22:15] |
mircea_popescu | jurov ya thaty's a point. | [22:15] |
mircea_popescu | old old thread. | [22:15] |
thestrin1puller | my ip changed a long time ago | [22:15] |
thestrin1puller | well not too long ago | [22:15] |
thestrin1puller | And now the paywall hates me | [22:15] |
mircea_popescu | aww! | [22:15] |
mircea_popescu | so get pw based credits | [22:16] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 1 @ 0.00408 BTC [+] | [22:16] |
thestrin1puller | i know I should have | [22:16] |
thestrin1puller | waaaah | [22:16] |
thestrin1puller | waaah | [22:16] |
thestrin1puller | I'm sad | [22:16] |
thestrin1puller | lol | [22:16] |
thestrin1puller | it's cool mircea_popescu | [22:16] |
thestrin1puller | i respect you enough to warrant a loss ;) | [22:16] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 2 @ 1.95 = 3.9 BTC [-] | [22:17] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 1948 @ 0.00409 = 7.9673 BTC [+] | [22:17] |
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thestrin1puller | Havelock is slowly becoming the berkshire hathaway of btc investments... | [22:18] |
thestrin1puller | mircea_popescu: you should creating a mining bond | [22:18] |
thestrin1puller | (this is where we all laugh) | [22:18] |
jurov | was going to reply "there was one already" | [22:19] |
thestrin1puller | jurov: that giga etf that went to shit? | [22:21] |
thestrin1puller | tiberiusiv: Havelock is a savings medium different space than the others | [22:21] |
jurov | yes, and there was a 1GH or so future.. going quickly down to 1 satoshi | [22:21] |
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thestrin1puller | Man I want to invest in HIM | [22:22] |
mircea_popescu | thestrin1puller but i never mined | [22:22] |
thestrin1puller | :) | [22:23] |
thestrin1puller | ^- that is how I know mircea_popescu is legit | [22:23] |
thestrin1puller | you mean yesterday | [22:23] |
thestrin1puller | also tiberiusiv you know what the oracle says | [22:23] |
thestrin1puller | shouldn't you know? | [22:24] |
thestrin1puller | tiberiusiv: what's the next movement going to be | [22:24] |
thestrin1puller | tiberiusiv: what's the meaning of life? | [22:24] |
thestrin1puller | tiberiusiv: how do I make more coin back? | [22:24] |
Bugpowder | ;;bids 0 | [22:25] |
gribble | There are currently 34845084 bitcoins demanded at or over 0.0 USD, worth 10289649.6484 USD in total. | Data vintage: 115.2992 seconds | [22:25] |
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thestrin1puller | LOL | [22:25] |
thestrin1puller | Bugpowder is avoiding the angry mobs | [22:25] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [O.USD.C116T] 1 @ 0.1536719 BTC | [22:26] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [O.USD.C116T] 19 @ 0.1536719 = 2.9198 BTC | [22:30] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 7 @ 0.4999 = 3.4993 BTC [+] | [22:31] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 5 @ 0.5 = 2.5 BTC [+] | [22:31] |
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taub | I don't think anyone is mad at him? | [22:40] |
KRS1 | cant always win jeez | [22:45] |
KRS1 | if u put out you need to expect to lose too | [22:45] |
KRS1 | can anyone provide advice? I am hearing more about mtgox every day and even though i dont have a lot in there, i'd like to protect what i do have..i dont use redeemable codes..do I have to pull out of gox and go with another? | [22:47] |
KRS1 | i think all the news is around the codes but im not using em | [22:48] |
KRS1 | and they're moving to the canada deal forgot the name..coin something | [22:48] |
KRS1 | prob because of the US regulation now? idk maybe im talking out my ass | [22:48] |
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KRS1 | anyone? | [22:54] |
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jurov | KRS1 you you use it a wallet, definitely pull out by any means | [22:56] |
jurov | *if you use it as wallet | [22:57] |
jurov | and even if you daytrade, i'd recommend preemptively pulling before the coinlab deal goes into effect | [22:57] |
kakobrekla | ok guise | [22:58] |
kakobrekla | we now have Sentiment charts | [22:58] |
kakobrekla | http://bitbet.us/bet/307/bfl-will-deliver-asic-devices-before-july-1st/ | [22:58] |
pizzaman1337 | oh, nice | [22:58] |
kakobrekla | :) | [22:58] |
mircea_popescu | KRS1 prolly best to look for gox alternatives | [23:05] |
mircea_popescu | pretty cool graphs | [23:06] |
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mircea_popescu | jurov http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1bbgtr/this_is_how_serious_business_is_done_27k_loss/c95ddt2 | [23:34] |
mircea_popescu | it just dawned on him | [23:34] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1300 @ 0.00067465 = 0.877 BTC [+] | [23:37] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5000 @ 0.00067466 = 3.3733 BTC [+] | [23:37] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8700 @ 0.00067469 = 5.8698 BTC [+] | [23:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 0.78 = 1.56 BTC [-] | [23:43] |
jurov | so, slovak PM is to show on a trial started by ex-PM | [23:48] |
jurov | except that police nor anybody else know his address | [23:48] |
jurov | lmao | [23:49] |
jurov | bulletproof legal immunity | [23:52] |
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mircea_popescu | address nullrooted | [23:56] |
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jurov | oh and also his office is not accepting such mail | [23:59] |
Category: Logs