Forum logs for 07 Jul 2013
Sunday, 24 November, Year 11 d.Tr. | Author: Mircea Popescu
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 4 @ 0.040501 = 0.162 BTC [-] | [00:00] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 15 @ 0.186 = 2.79 BTC [+] | [00:02] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.04098 BTC [+] | [00:02] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 41 @ 0.030299 = 1.2423 BTC [+] | [00:02] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 20 @ 0.0303 = 0.606 BTC [+] | [00:02] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 9 @ 0.03049 = 0.2744 BTC [+] | [00:02] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 2 @ 0.030497 = 0.061 BTC [+] | [00:02] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 15 @ 0.030499 = 0.4575 BTC [+] | [00:02] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.MPOE-PT] 109 @ 0.00099 = 0.1079 BTC [-] | [00:04] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 17 @ 0.031 = 0.527 BTC [+] | [00:04] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BITVPS] 47 @ 0.001899 = 0.0893 BTC [+] | [00:05] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.0409 BTC [-] | [00:12] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BMF] 4 @ 0.034 = 0.136 BTC [-] | [00:12] |
furuknap | ;;nethash | [00:13] |
gribble | 175663.636948 | [00:13] |
furuknap | ;;bcstats | [00:13] |
gribble | Current Blocks: 245169 | Current Difficulty: 2.1335329113983E7 | Next Difficulty At Block: 245951 | Next Difficulty In: 782 blocks | Next Difficulty In About: 4 days, 3 hours, 49 minutes, and 47 seconds | Next Difficulty Estimate: 25127864.7628 | Estimated Percent Change: 17.77585 | [00:13] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5424 @ 0.00080573 = 4.3703 BTC [-] | [00:15] |
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* | rulother (~rulother@c-71-59-16-33.hsd1.ga.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [00:21] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 25 @ 0.019 = 0.475 BTC [-] | [00:23] |
* | saulimus has quit (Quit: saulimus) | [00:28] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.040958 BTC [+] | [00:29] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.040959 BTC [+] | [00:29] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5273 @ 0.00080891 = 4.2654 BTC [+] | [00:29] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 8300 @ 0.00080901 = 6.7148 BTC [+] | [00:29] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 1060 @ 0.00080941 = 0.858 BTC [+] | [00:29] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [B.YABMC] 1 @ 0.0055 BTC [-] | [00:29] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 31 @ 0.004296 = 0.1332 BTC [-] | [00:30] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 1 @ 0.0021 BTC [-] | [00:31] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BITVPS] 1 @ 0.001651 BTC [-] | [00:31] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 3 @ 0.00168 = 0.005 BTC [-] | [00:32] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 50 @ 0.00168 = 0.084 BTC [-] | [00:32] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 10 @ 0.041006 = 0.4101 BTC [-] | [00:33] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 9 @ 0.00162 = 0.0146 BTC [-] | [00:34] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 1 @ 0.004689 BTC [+] | [00:36] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 13 @ 0.00162 = 0.0211 BTC [-] | [00:36] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 1 @ 0.041479 BTC [+] | [00:38] |
* | Chilca (~Chilca@c-67-164-91-88.hsd1.ca.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [00:41] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.040959 BTC [+] | [00:43] |
* | Bugpowder (~Bugpowder@c-69-243-176-68.hsd1.in.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [00:45] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 3 @ 0.00191 = 0.0057 BTC [-] | [00:46] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.PURCHASE] 107 @ 0.049083 = 5.2519 BTC [-] | [00:52] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 1 @ 0.00243 BTC [-] | [00:56] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BFMINES] 1 @ 0.004 BTC [+] | [00:56] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.PURCHASE] 26 @ 0.049083 = 1.2762 BTC [-] | [00:59] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 4641 @ 0.00080941 = 3.7565 BTC [+] | [01:02] |
* | FabianB (~ogg@p4FE862D4.dip0.t-ipconnect.de) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [01:03] |
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cads | hey has anyone done a study about the marketing impact that offering bitcoin payments in webstores has on traditional payments? | [01:03] |
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cads | one basic question - when would offering bitcoin tend to scare off regular customers? | [01:04] |
cads | and vice versa - when would regular customers be more likely to purchase from you because they see that you also take bitcoin? | [01:05] |
cads | I'm sure similar questions have been asked in the past by vendors considering adding, for example, a paypal payment option to their webstore | [01:06] |
cads | or by traditional stored considering accepting credit card payment in addition to cash payments | [01:07] |
cads | in the last case, at some point, store owners may have feared that accepting credit cards might not bring enough customers to justify the cost of the machine | [01:08] |
cads | in the case of bitcoin, in the current atmosphere, web store owners might worry that adding bitcoin payment options might de-legitimize their business in the eyes of many customers | [01:09] |
cads | this is because many people are afraid, mistrusting, or simply ignorant of bitcoin | [01:10] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [MININGCO.ETF] 1 @ 1.42 BTC [+] | [01:10] |
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emptyeddepended | do you think so? i'd say it depends on the website. if it's filled with hundreds of shady payment choices, it's not good anyway, but i see no reason to not accept bitcoin. most people don't know about it and the worst reaction which could happen might be "what? bitcoin? isn't that the internet currency? wow.. it really gets attention nowadays" | [01:14] |
cads | yeah | [01:14] |
emptyeddepended | but i can't supply hard facts though :/ | [01:14] |
emptyeddepended | there are some bigger players already accepting.. like wordpress | [01:15] |
emptyeddepended | and spotify soon | [01:15] |
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cads | if your customers are techies, there's a good chance that adding that bitcoin payment button will increase customer conversion rates even in customers that don't use bitcoin | [01:15] |
mircea_popescu | cads i really have no idea who'd be repelled by bitcoin | [01:15] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 11793 @ 0.000807 = 9.517 BTC [-] | [01:16] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6676 @ 0.00080573 = 5.3791 BTC [-] | [01:17] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 5400 @ 0.00080492 = 4.3466 BTC [-] | [01:17] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7830 @ 0.00080364 = 6.2925 BTC [-] | [01:17] |
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emptyeddepended | cads do you plan integrating bitcoin or just asking out of curiosity? | [01:17] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9200 @ 0.00080347 = 7.3919 BTC [-] | [01:17] |
cads | the former | [01:17] |
cads | mircea_popescu: there is a large fraction of regular people that are instinctively mistrustful of bitcoin - there has been talk of people using it for tax evasion and money laundering, there is bitcoin's use in the silk road that leaves a bad taste in most people's mouths. | [01:18] |
cads | worst, there has been talk about government sanctions of the digital currency - lots of regular late adopters and conservative types instinctively avoid it | [01:18] |
cads | but then a webstore catering to early adopters, techies, and people with an anarchocapitalist bent, I'm sure bitcoin support can be a boon. | [01:19] |
cads | *for a webstore | [01:19] |
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jurov | and there's that "it's just ponzi" kind | [01:20] |
cads | I'm wondering if there's any business data available here. | [01:20] |
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cads | I have an idea of how a webstore could test what effect bitcoin support has on its conversion rate | [01:21] |
cads | and this could be fairly discreet | [01:21] |
mircea_popescu | a/b split ? | [01:21] |
cads | simply give a small percentage of your customers the option to use bitcoin | [01:22] |
kakobrekla | i doubt that thing is measurable | [01:22] |
cads | and analyze the conversion rate | [01:22] |
jurov | counting referrals from bitcoin-related sites? | [01:22] |
mircea_popescu | anyway, i've yet to comprehend this. i think paying attention to what people say (like on their own shitty blogs) is a waste. | [01:22] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 6 @ 0.04148 = 0.2489 BTC [+] | [01:22] |
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mircea_popescu | nobody will NOT use a service they were going to use because there's more ways to pay than the one they use | [01:22] |
mircea_popescu | it's not yet happened, this. | [01:22] |
cads | okay, so | [01:22] |
mircea_popescu | like, not go to a restaurant because they take both visa and maestro and you hjate maestro ? lol. | [01:22] |
cads | your store says "we now take drugs as payment!" | [01:23] |
cads | ... | [01:23] |
jurov | that's hardly comparable | [01:24] |
mircea_popescu | indeed. | [01:24] |
cads | to my thought, this could easily reduce the legitimacy of your store | [01:24] |
jurov | the "ponzi" people are vocal, but very few | [01:24] |
mircea_popescu | i mean sure there's idiots boycotting this or that because they kill bunnies or w/e. | [01:24] |
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emptyeddepended | cads news reports aren't that bad, are they? | [01:24] |
mircea_popescu | i doubt anyone cares. the recent internet bullshit trying to bother some restaurant resulted in more customers rather than less. | [01:24] |
cads | emptyeddepended: I dunno, there was talk about BTC receiving scrutiny from a US financial regulatory body recently | [01:26] |
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cads | mt gox had one of its stateside accounts frozen, or something | [01:26] |
jurov | there was much bigger talk about that winklevoess etf nonsense | [01:27] |
cads | My point being that the average person who has a 50% chance of not having hear about bitcoin at all, will, if you ask them about it, with 80% probability tell you that what they've heard about it is worrying | [01:27] |
cads | at least here in the states, the average person may be more optimistic in europe | [01:28] |
jurov | cads, you're now just pulling numbers out of the ass | [01:28] |
jurov | we have google trends and other stuff you can actually use | [01:28] |
jurov | instead of worrying here ;) | [01:28] |
cads | jurov: who's worried, lol | [01:29] |
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emptyeddepended | how does google trends help in this matter? | [01:29] |
emptyeddepended | google news + "bitcoin" would do though :) | [01:30] |
jurov | it tries to show most influential news. you can check whether they are pos or neg | [01:30] |
benkay | +1 for split testing | [01:30] |
emptyeddepended | i see | [01:30] |
cads | I'm simply proposing an experiment, and suggesting that my real life experience interviewing various people (people who are _not_, as a rule, very connected to the social network sphere or the blogsphere) suggests that BTC is a point of contention for many people. | [01:31] |
cads | this is not a bad thing, don't treat me as if I'm trying to rain on some parade | [01:31] |
benkay | split test all the things | [01:31] |
benkay | data is the ultimate arbiter | [01:31] |
cads | I agree there | [01:32] |
emptyeddepended | no, don''t get me wrong. i honor your opinion, but i for myself are super bullish and optimistic | [01:32] |
jurov | point of contention is different than worrying | [01:32] |
benkay | let's reframe then, shall we? | [01:32] |
cads | sure | [01:32] |
emptyeddepended | here is another scenario: let's say people do think bitcoin is bad. what do you think would happen, if amazon.com announces they start accepting btc? | [01:32] |
benkay | has anyone tested impact of accepting btc on conversion rates? | [01:32] |
jurov | kim dotcom? | [01:33] |
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mircea_popescu | so far namecheap is taking btc, i have yet to hear any bitchin'. | [01:33] |
jurov | or wordpress | [01:34] |
mircea_popescu | and for that matter wordpress | [01:34] |
mircea_popescu | so yeah, you're hardly in the weird forrest of novelty here. | [01:34] |
jurov | in wp case the buzz looked overwhelmingly positive | [01:34] |
thestringpuller | Dude | [01:34] |
thestringpuller | ;;ticker | [01:34] |
gribble | MtGox BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 69.79976, Best ask: 70.35900, Bid-ask spread: 0.55924, Last trade: 70.36499, 24 hour volume: 41641.06437256, 24 hour low: 66.81190, 24 hour high: 74.99997, 24 hour vwap: 70.17329 | [01:34] |
thestringpuller | what am I missing | [01:34] |
benkay | out of the weird forest of novelty doesn't mean anything when trying to figure out affect of widget implementation on bounce rates | [01:35] |
cads | I'm sure that various hybric bitcoin/traditional vendors have done that in a phase before adding bitcoin support, and I'm willing to hazard it generally the experiment is a positive for most vendors that even considers adding BTC support | [01:35] |
cads | s/hybric/hybrid | [01:35] |
cads | so far I've heard some rhetoric and no numbers | [01:37] |
cads | numbers will be nice, I think we'll all agree | [01:37] |
jurov | you heard some names, try asking there | [01:37] |
benkay | cads where are you considering implementing? | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 50 @ 0.041009 = 2.0505 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 20 @ 0.041008 = 0.8202 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 5 @ 0.041005 = 0.205 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 80 @ 0.0405 = 3.24 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 5 @ 0.040404 = 0.202 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 10 @ 0.040402 = 0.404 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 65 @ 0.0404 = 2.626 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 100 @ 0.0402 = 4.02 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 84 @ 0.04012 = 3.3701 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 10 @ 0.040112 = 0.4011 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 83 @ 0.04011 = 3.3291 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 238 @ 0.0401 = 9.5438 BTC [-] | [01:37] |
jurov | and maybe also ask yourself if your service will be used by people who can't/don't want to use credit card or paypal | [01:38] |
cads | benkay: an NFC tag webstore that also takes bitcoin | [01:38] |
Blastbob | Biggest tech site in norway accepts bitcoin for "premium" account | [01:39] |
Blastbob | hardware.no | [01:39] |
Blastbob | suprised me :) | [01:39] |
benkay | (just because lots of people do a thing does not mean that it is a good idea. data answers that.) | [01:39] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 1 @ 0.004689 BTC [+] | [01:39] |
benkay | cads: can I get a link? | [01:39] |
cads | the idea is just, you know, offer bitcoin payment as something to differentiate us from other stores selling NFC tags | [01:39] |
emptyeddepended | i'm sorry, i mentioned spotify, but what i meant was shopify... christian@shopify.com was responsive, when i asked for confirmation of a planned bitcoin integration | [01:40] |
cads | benkay: right now I just have some tags in the mail, that I'll be putting up on an associate's existing ebay store | [01:40] |
benkay | I imagine eBay won't be terribly pleased to hear that you accept payment methods they don't get a slice of... | [01:41] |
benkay | ;) | [01:41] |
cads | benkay: I don't think they'll have much room to complain, as long as I don't link customers from the ebay store to my store | [01:42] |
benkay | +1 | [01:42] |
cads | for now I'm just playing around with webstore techs - thinking of magento, and, funny enough, shopify :) | [01:42] |
jurov | cads, that could be successful if more btc-related service, such as (example idea) nfc tags with vanity addresses | [01:43] |
cads | sites like tagstand.com have been successful (I don't know how successful) offering an inventory of NFC tags at low volume/high cost, at the same time as offering a free NFC based task manager app | [01:44] |
cads | actually, tag stand is the only example I can cite, here in the US | [01:45] |
benkay | i recommend against magento | [01:45] |
benkay | but have nothing to suggest in its place :( | [01:45] |
cads | sure, what are you thoughts behind that? | [01:46] |
benkay | well, my advice may be premature optimization for your use case | [01:46] |
cads | why recommend against magento, I mean? | [01:46] |
cads | so far all I've done is.. download a magento virtual machine | [01:48] |
benkay | i just wrapped an epic migration from magento 1.3 community to enterprise | [01:48] |
benkay | and aside from the conceived-in-hell EAV data store they fucked up | [01:48] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 3 @ 0.041895 = 0.1257 BTC [+] | [01:48] |
benkay | it just falls over on basic stuff like search | [01:48] |
benkay | plus php is not a great choice for us-based dev teams | [01:49] |
cads | I haven't even run it - I have a lot more experience with wordpress, but that experience makes me want to stay away from using WP as a storefront | [01:49] |
cads | I know there are a few ruby/rails based options, | [01:49] |
benkay | i just wrapped an epic migration from magento 1.3 community to enterprise | [01:49] |
benkay | and aside from the conceived-in-hell EAV data store they fucked up | [01:49] |
benkay | derp derp derp | [01:49] |
cads | :D | [01:49] |
benkay | if you don't mind hiring "experts" from all around the world to make your application dance, it's probably a solid choice | [01:50] |
benkay | what are your engineering requirements? | [01:50] |
benkay | do you need to be able to hire dirt-cheap PHP jockeys or will you and your friends maintain it yourself? | [01:50] |
benkay | yourselves* | [01:50] |
cads | in the long run I might prefer the PHP route rather than derp around with effete rubyists | [01:51] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.194995 BTC [+] | [01:51] |
benkay | lulz | [01:51] |
cads | being that I'm a semi-rubyist, in the short term I might like a ruby based option | [01:51] |
benkay | my problem is not effete rubyists, it's rails brogrammers | [01:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 7 @ 0.04189 = 0.2932 BTC [-] | [01:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 20 @ 0.041895 = 0.8379 BTC [+] | [01:52] |
benkay | ruby works just fine (again, premature optimization alert), but it's incredibly easy to make a non-performant site in it | [01:52] |
cads | to be honest I don't really see many reasons to swing one way or another at this point | [01:53] |
cads | and this is probably my inexperience speaking | [01:53] |
benkay | also look into magento's continuous integration environment | [01:54] |
benkay | which, man, i have no idea how rigorously you want to build your store | [01:54] |
cads | i like the idea of magento since it's got a big community and good documentation | [01:54] |
cads | yeah, this is the first webstore I'd be building | [01:54] |
benkay | heh. are you looking to become a magento expert? you can probably make more money doing that than operating your own store. | [01:54] |
benkay | if you're doing webdev in the states and want to invest in skills that will be attractive to the people who hire devs and dev teams, i would avoid php. | [01:55] |
benkay | but at the end of the day, languages are just languages, and anything you can do in one you can do in another | [01:55] |
cads | turing tar pit :P | [01:55] |
benkay | that said | [01:56] |
benkay | some languages lend themselves to developer productivity | [01:56] |
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benkay | now, if you're just deploying capital, who cares about developer productivity | [01:56] |
cads | http://www.tagstand.com/ | [01:56] |
ozbot | NFC Tags and Applications - Tagstand | [01:56] |
cads | here's what I'd like to imitate | [01:56] |
cads | aka steal wholesale :D | [01:56] |
cads | I don't want to innovate for now | [01:57] |
cads | I don't think that store has any particularly challenging engineering | [01:57] |
benkay | dat bootstrap | [01:57] |
benkay | it's just a CRUD app man | [01:57] |
benkay | do it in your favorite language | [01:57] |
cads | and I'm working on an open source project with the programmer that programmed tagstand's NFC app | [01:57] |
* | Now talking on #bitcoin-assets | [02:01] |
* | Topic for #bitcoin-assets is: http://bitcoin-assets.com || http://log.bitcoin-assets.com - most days worth reading, I heard. | [02:01] |
* | Topic for #bitcoin-assets set by kakobrekla!~kako@unaffiliated/kakobrekla at Tue May 14 16:38:49 2013 | [02:01] |
benkay | i recently switched wholesale to clojure | [02:02] |
cads | python's community /is/ pretty awesome for scientific programming / math programming | [02:02] |
benkay | oh fuck yeah | [02:02] |
benkay | that's how i started programming. controls systems in python and matlab. | [02:02] |
cads | so it may be time to speak python, period | [02:02] |
benkay | ruby really ain't that great for?stuff. | [02:03] |
benkay | it's great for the web, though! | [02:03] |
benkay | you can totally learn to code your biz site, bro! | [02:03] |
mircea_popescu | no it's not. | [02:03] |
benkay | it'll be great! | [02:03] |
mircea_popescu | it's great for being owned on the web | [02:03] |
benkay | your cluster will erupt in flames under its first real load! | [02:03] |
mircea_popescu | like half of the bitcoin heists are traceable to ruby being a promiscuous piece of shit | [02:03] |
benkay | mp i'm kidding | [02:04] |
cads | I mean, I love ruby, and with JRuby I might be able to expect decent runtimes - I know python is compiled now and is supposed to be blazing | [02:04] |
cads | but.. well | [02:04] |
benkay | forget speed | [02:04] |
benkay | not your problem | [02:04] |
benkay | your problem is picking a language to live and breathe for the next n time periods | [02:04] |
benkay | that is if you want to get good at the thing | [02:05] |
benkay | if you just want to write passable code and pull down paychecks... | [02:05] |
cads | ruby has always been a convenience thing - object oriented programming is much more light weight and actually tolerable compared to, say, java or (god forbid) c++ | [02:05] |
cads | it's got groovy zen introspection, like your smalltalk | [02:05] |
cads | it's got lambdas and other things that evoke the feeling of functional programming | [02:06] |
cads | (my main language of choice is haskell) | [02:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 17 @ 0.004301 = 0.0731 BTC [-] | [02:06] |
benkay | oh man | [02:06] |
Apocalyptic | [02:06] | |
benkay | if you're a func-y, just spend the time to learn clojure. | [02:06] |
* | rulother has quit (Read error: Connection reset by peer) | [02:06] |
benkay | well, nvm. | [02:06] |
* | rulother (~rulother@c-71-59-16-33.hsd1.ga.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [02:07] |
cads | really my one peeve with python is that its asshole creator once made a statement completely discounting lambdas | [02:07] |
cads | ... it's an immature reason to judge the language | [02:07] |
Apocalyptic | i find haskell really awesome, after having some functional prog background with OCaml mostly | [02:07] |
benkay | yeah, i wouldn't put that in the evaluation matrix | [02:07] |
cads | benkay: tell me about your experience with clojure? | [02:07] |
benkay | *swoon* | [02:07] |
cads | I tried it a few years back | [02:08] |
benkay | i'll embarras myself, man | [02:08] |
benkay | embarass* | [02:08] |
cads | well, commercial experience | [02:08] |
benkay | interop with all of the things! | [02:08] |
cads | ah, yeah | [02:08] |
benkay | write your full stack in one language | [02:08] |
cads | been thinking of scala for that | [02:08] |
benkay | call functions client-side in ClojureScript and execute them on the server in Clojure | [02:08] |
cads | kind of like a web-appropriate haskell | [02:09] |
benkay | it is also a lisp. | [02:09] |
benkay | did you get a chance to play with ClojureScript? | [02:09] |
benkay | probably not, back then. | [02:09] |
cads | I don't think it existed back then | [02:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 30 @ 0.019 = 0.57 BTC [-] | [02:09] |
benkay | well, professionally it's always a tough sell. | [02:09] |
benkay | except with clients who want to own and maintain the application. | [02:10] |
benkay | except -> especially | [02:10] |
cads | hmm, I can has clojurescript as a replacement of javascript? | [02:10] |
benkay | yes. | [02:10] |
cads | sold. | [02:10] |
benkay | that's the point. | [02:10] |
benkay | see? | [02:10] |
benkay | full-stack lisp | [02:10] |
benkay | you just got half your brain back. | [02:10] |
benkay | https://github.com/magomimmo/modern-cljs | [02:11] |
benkay | start there | [02:11] |
benkay | however it's not ecom ready. | [02:11] |
cads | I'm suddenly very interested to find out what web platforms clojure has acretted in the time I've been away from it | [02:11] |
ThickAsThieves | I know i'm late commenting, but in general, offering more payment methods will likely only have one negative consideration. It may act as a distraction. For web shopping, most any "step" or "option" is a potential moment of distraction. Each of these moments can be considered an obstactle to a sale, the goal being to have the least amount of resistance between the impulse to buy and | [02:12] |
ThickAsThieves | completing a purchase. | [02:12] |
cads | I'm sure there's a blog | [02:12] |
jcpham | http://pit.btcmu.org/ | [02:12] |
ozbot | Miner Stats | [02:12] |
ThickAsThieves | if you user has not heard of bitcoin you may incite them to learn | [02:12] |
* | jcpham still has more erupters to bring online | [02:12] |
ThickAsThieves | an thus be distracted | [02:12] |
zebedee_ | .bait | [02:12] |
ozbot | http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_mdwmwptcyv1qdwh13o1_500.jpg | [02:12] |
cads | I'm hoping clojure has a ecommerce solution | [02:13] |
benkay | clojure is evolving towards pluggable modules | [02:13] |
benkay | nah, not yet. | [02:13] |
cads | guessing it has a more nuts and bolts rails-alike | [02:13] |
benkay | django is the batteries-included thing | [02:13] |
benkay | rails, meh. | [02:13] |
benkay | php, kill me now. | [02:13] |
* | cads likes batteries included | [02:13] |
benkay | yeah man | [02:13] |
cads | hates rails | [02:13] |
cads | loves ruby | [02:13] |
benkay | if all you want is a thing that serves stuff and is reasonably secure and performant and well documented, django's your gig | [02:14] |
benkay | i typically recommend it as a good framework for apps that clients want to maintain themselves, or be able to hire people to maintain themselves | [02:14] |
cads | php definitely has gamed the "worse is better" aspect very well | [02:14] |
cads | and I hate to give it to it, but worpress is great, and the actual PHP you have to do to use it is very very minimal, even when you're writing your own theme | [02:15] |
benkay | yo dawg | [02:16] |
benkay | we herd u can't code | [02:16] |
benkay | so we took the code out of your code | [02:16] |
benkay | so now you can web while you bro | [02:16] |
* | cads derps while he derps | [02:16] |
benkay | there is also the unquantifiable upside to writing the building blocks of a new ecosystem of web tech tools | [02:17] |
benkay | clojure's still young enough for that | [02:17] |
benkay | and it won't garner you fame or anything - everyone will always hate lisps | [02:18] |
benkay | but you'll be happy :) | [02:18] |
benkay | well, you *may* be happy. i have no idea. | [02:18] |
cads | lol, even I hate lisp, mostly because it feels like someone was too lazy to write a parser | [02:18] |
cads | although I have great fun using it, oddly | [02:19] |
cads | but.. emacs lisp, for example? | [02:19] |
cads | *revilement* | [02:19] |
benkay | so many people have spilled so much ink on the topic of languages | [02:20] |
benkay | i use what i feel like using when engineering req's don't clearly dictate alternatives, and when they do?i follow their directives. | [02:20] |
benkay | engineering/business req's | [02:21] |
cads | yeah, I don't want to put negative words to lisp, mostly since I don't have the experience to have that right | [02:21] |
benkay | you could probably burn through joy of clojure pretty quickly | [02:21] |
benkay | i liked that book | [02:22] |
cads | I'll try and open my mind here - I really love the idea of clojurescript | [02:22] |
benkay | *shrug* | [02:22] |
benkay | i have zero investment in your choice of languages. | [02:22] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BITVPS] 42 @ 0.001651 = 0.0693 BTC [-] | [02:22] |
benkay | but an open mind towards programming paradigms has a lot of value to the programmer | [02:22] |
cads | sure, and I want to get over prejudices in my choice | [02:22] |
benkay | whether the programmer has any value with those paradigms is a wholly different topic | [02:23] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 19 @ 0.004301 = 0.0817 BTC [-] | [02:23] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 3 @ 0.0019 = 0.0057 BTC [+] | [02:24] |
* | Chilca has quit (Remote host closed the connection) | [02:24] |
cads | definitely a JVM language will be great to have when/if I need to do android dev | [02:25] |
cads | oh grovvy https://github.com/remvee/clojurehelloandroid | [02:27] |
benkay | yeah man | [02:28] |
benkay | clojure was designed to be hosted on all of the machines | [02:28] |
benkay | the mobile integrations aren't quiiiite there yet, but getting close for sure | [02:28] |
benkay | http://keminglabs.com/blog/angular-cljs-weather-app/ | [02:28] |
ozbot | Building an iOS weather app with Angular and ClojureScript | [02:29] |
* | Chilca (~Chilca@c-67-164-91-88.hsd1.ca.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [02:30] |
* | metabyte_ is now known as metabyte | [02:31] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.0404205 BTC [-] | [02:31] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.04042 BTC [-] | [02:33] |
* | Anduck has quit (Ping timeout: 248 seconds) | [02:35] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 20 @ 0.018303 = 0.3661 BTC [-] | [02:36] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 1 @ 0.018302 BTC [-] | [02:36] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 20 @ 0.0183 = 0.366 BTC [-] | [02:36] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 85 @ 0.018201 = 1.5471 BTC [-] | [02:36] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 10 @ 0.01811 = 0.1811 BTC [-] | [02:36] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 163 @ 0.00080267 = 0.1308 BTC [-] | [02:37] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 6137 @ 0.0008024 = 4.9243 BTC [-] | [02:37] |
cads | thanks for the conversation, benkay! | [02:37] |
cads | I enjoyed it a lot, and you've given me some awesome directions to investigate | [02:37] |
benkay | anytime | [02:37] |
benkay | hey cads, check your pms | [02:38] |
furuknap | I find it interesting how people seem incapable of seeing others as not having their own characteristics. | [02:39] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 2 @ 0.004301 = 0.0086 BTC [-] | [02:46] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.0404155 BTC [-] | [02:48] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 6 @ 0.03960201 = 0.2376 BTC [-] | [02:49] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 1 @ 0.3515 BTC [-] | [02:50] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.0403 BTC [+] | [02:50] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.04029 BTC [-] | [02:51] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 1357 @ 0.00163 = 2.2119 BTC [-] | [02:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 36 @ 0.001629 = 0.0586 BTC [-] | [02:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 100 @ 0.001626 = 0.1626 BTC [-] | [02:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 100 @ 0.001619 = 0.1619 BTC [-] | [02:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 1 @ 0.001618 BTC [-] | [02:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 50 @ 0.001616 = 0.0808 BTC [-] | [02:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 150 @ 0.001615 = 0.2423 BTC [-] | [02:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 500 @ 0.001606 = 0.803 BTC [-] | [02:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 100 @ 0.001605 = 0.1605 BTC [-] | [02:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 2606 @ 0.001601 = 4.1722 BTC [-] | [02:52] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.0404 BTC [+] | [02:52] |
* | Chilca has quit (Remote host closed the connection) | [02:52] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 6 @ 0.0404 = 0.2424 BTC [+] | [02:52] |
* | rulother has quit (Read error: Connection reset by peer) | [02:53] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 1 @ 0.186 BTC [+] | [02:57] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 1 @ 0.3515 BTC [-] | [02:58] |
* | GordonG3kko (~GordonG3k@gateway/tor-sasl/gordong3kko) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [03:02] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 132 @ 0.00251 = 0.3313 BTC [+] | [03:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 1 @ 0.041 BTC [-] | [03:09] |
* | Vbs (~Vbs@unaffiliated/vbs) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [03:10] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 15 @ 0.02962 = 0.4443 BTC [-] | [03:13] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 40 @ 0.0296 = 1.184 BTC [-] | [03:13] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 5 @ 0.004301 = 0.0215 BTC [-] | [03:14] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 8 @ 0.00243 = 0.0194 BTC [-] | [03:15] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 200 @ 0.00243 = 0.486 BTC [-] | [03:15] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 17651 @ 0.00080347 = 14.182 BTC [+] | [03:15] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 7 @ 0.00243 = 0.017 BTC [-] | [03:15] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 849 @ 0.00080534 = 0.6837 BTC [+] | [03:15] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 12 @ 0.0024 = 0.0288 BTC [-] | [03:15] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 500 @ 0.002399 = 1.1995 BTC [-] | [03:15] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 355 @ 0.002372 = 0.8421 BTC [-] | [03:15] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 4 @ 0.0185 = 0.074 BTC [+] | [03:18] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 10 @ 0.018002 = 0.18 BTC [-] | [03:18] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 1 @ 0.018 BTC [-] | [03:19] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 1 @ 0.01651 BTC [-] | [03:19] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 1 @ 0.0165 BTC [-] | [03:19] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 11 @ 0.0163 = 0.1793 BTC [-] | [03:19] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 31 @ 0.016001 = 0.496 BTC [-] | [03:20] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 1 @ 0.016 BTC [-] | [03:20] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 1 @ 0.016 BTC [-] | [03:20] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 1 @ 0.016 BTC [-] | [03:20] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 1 @ 0.0159 BTC [-] | [03:21] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 8 @ 0.0159 = 0.1272 BTC [-] | [03:22] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7932 @ 0.00080534 = 6.388 BTC [+] | [03:27] |
* | Blastbob has quit (Changing host) | [03:32] |
* | Blastbob (~Blastbob@unaffiliated/blastbob) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [03:32] |
* | BTCOxygen has quit (Ping timeout: 246 seconds) | [03:36] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 1 @ 0.041591 BTC [+] | [03:41] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.04062 BTC [+] | [03:44] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.040612 BTC [-] | [03:44] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 57 @ 0.040613 = 2.3149 BTC [+] | [03:45] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.040613 BTC [+] | [03:45] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.040614 BTC [+] | [03:45] |
* | error4739 has quit (Ping timeout: 256 seconds) | [03:45] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 3 @ 0.04096 = 0.1229 BTC [+] | [03:48] |
* | inhies has quit (Ping timeout: 240 seconds) | [03:49] |
* | Vbs has quit (Quit: Leaving) | [03:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 7 @ 0.183 = 1.281 BTC [-] | [03:56] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 198 @ 0.002549 = 0.5047 BTC [+] | [04:01] |
* | Apocalyptic has quit (Quit: Leaving) | [04:02] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [VTX] 2 @ 0.9 = 1.8 BTC [-] | [04:07] |
* | benkay has quit (Quit: This computer has gone to sleep) | [04:07] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 3 @ 0.004689 = 0.0141 BTC [+] | [04:11] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 1 @ 0.001934 BTC [+] | [04:13] |
* | rulother (~rulother@c-71-59-16-33.hsd1.ga.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [04:14] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 50 @ 0.0303 = 1.515 BTC [+] | [04:15] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.PURCHASE] 31 @ 0.049083 = 1.5216 BTC [-] | [04:16] |
* | rulother has quit (Ping timeout: 276 seconds) | [04:19] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 2 @ 0.041583 = 0.0832 BTC [-] | [04:20] |
* | benkay (~benkay@c-71-193-200-93.hsd1.or.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [04:22] |
* | rulother (~rulother@c-71-59-16-33.hsd1.ga.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [04:24] |
* | [\] has quit (Remote host closed the connection) | [04:26] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [CRYPTO-TRADE] 5 @ 0.199 = 0.995 BTC [+] | [04:28] |
* | PhantomSpark has quit (Quit: Not all thats glitter is gold not all who wander are lost. - ospwrd.com) | [04:28] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.185 BTC [-] | [04:28] |
* | rulother has quit (Ping timeout: 264 seconds) | [04:28] |
* | rulother (~rulother@c-71-59-16-33.hsd1.ga.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [04:29] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.204995 BTC [+] | [04:31] |
* | [\] (~imsaguy@unaffiliated/imsaguy) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [04:34] |
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* | benkay (~benkay@c-71-193-200-93.hsd1.or.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [04:44] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.19 BTC [-] | [04:44] |
* | furuknap has quit (Ping timeout: 250 seconds) | [04:47] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2963 @ 0.0008024 = 2.3775 BTC [-] | [04:51] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 9100 @ 0.00080131 = 7.2919 BTC [-] | [04:51] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7037 @ 0.00080091 = 5.636 BTC [-] | [04:51] |
* | ThickAsThieves has quit () | [04:55] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 31 @ 0.04096 = 1.2698 BTC [+] | [04:58] |
* | ThickAssLaptop has quit (Ping timeout: 256 seconds) | [04:59] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 5 @ 0.04096 = 0.2048 BTC [+] | [04:59] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 4 @ 0.041 = 0.164 BTC [+] | [05:01] |
* | ThickAsThieves (ThickAsThi@c-98-231-58-41.hsd1.fl.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [05:08] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 60 @ 0.183 = 10.98 BTC [-] | [05:09] |
* | ThickAsThieves has quit (Changing host) | [05:10] |
* | ThickAsThieves (ThickAsThi@unaffiliated/thickasthieves) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [05:10] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.PURCHASE] 10 @ 0.049083 = 0.4908 BTC [-] | [05:16] |
* | Apocalyptic (~Apocalypt@85-170-112-54.rev.numericable.fr) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [05:18] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 6 @ 0.030999 = 0.186 BTC [+] | [05:18] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 25 @ 0.1783441 = 4.4586 BTC [-] | [05:18] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 20 @ 0.1783431 = 3.5669 BTC [-] | [05:18] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 11 @ 0.17834209 = 1.9618 BTC [-] | [05:18] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.17833805 BTC [-] | [05:18] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 43 @ 0.178334 = 7.6684 BTC [-] | [05:18] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 462 @ 0.001623 = 0.7498 BTC [-] | [05:27] |
* | ThickAsThieves has quit (Read error: Connection reset by peer) | [05:28] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 3 @ 0.041 = 0.123 BTC [+] | [05:32] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 147 @ 0.040611 = 5.9698 BTC [-] | [05:34] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 146 @ 0.040611 = 5.9292 BTC [-] | [05:35] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 196 @ 0.040611 = 7.9598 BTC [-] | [05:35] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 84 @ 0.040611 = 3.4113 BTC [-] | [05:36] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 10 @ 0.040611 = 0.4061 BTC [-] | [05:36] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 30 @ 0.040611 = 1.2183 BTC [-] | [05:36] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.041 BTC [+] | [05:37] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 64 @ 0.040611 = 2.5991 BTC [-] | [05:38] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 3 @ 0.040611 = 0.1218 BTC [-] | [05:39] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 20 @ 0.040611 = 0.8122 BTC [-] | [05:39] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.040611 BTC [-] | [05:39] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 5 @ 0.040836 = 0.2042 BTC [+] | [05:41] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.040611 BTC [-] | [05:41] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 2 @ 0.040611 = 0.0812 BTC [-] | [05:41] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.040611 BTC [-] | [05:41] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 2 @ 0.040612 = 0.0812 BTC [+] | [05:42] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 2 @ 0.040611 = 0.0812 BTC [-] | [05:42] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.04061 BTC [-] | [05:42] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.040611 BTC [+] | [05:42] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 5 @ 0.0407 = 0.2035 BTC [+] | [05:42] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 27 @ 0.040405 = 1.0909 BTC [-] | [05:43] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 23 @ 0.041239 = 0.9485 BTC [-] | [05:46] |
thestringpuller | i wonder how much of the money taken from ASICMINER went into MPOE or where it went in general ;P | [05:47] |
* | ThickAsThieves (ThickAsThi@c-98-231-58-41.hsd1.fl.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [05:49] |
* | ThickAsThieves has quit (Changing host) | [05:50] |
* | ThickAsThieves (ThickAsThi@unaffiliated/thickasthieves) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [05:50] |
Namworld | taken from ASICMINER? | [05:51] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 6 @ 0.004689 = 0.0281 BTC [+] | [05:54] |
thestringpuller | Money moved out of ASICMINER slowly since dividend payment. | [05:56] |
thestringpuller | !ticker btctc bitvps | [05:56] |
assbot | [BTCT:BITVPS] 1D: 0.00152 / 0.00166 / 0.001995 (992 shares, 1.6 BTC), 7D: 0.00089 / 0.00139 / 0.0035 (16151 shares, 22.4 BTC), 30D: 0.000637 / 0.00112 / 0.0035 (43883 shares, 49.3 BTC) | [05:56] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BITVPS] 18 @ 0.001787 = 0.0322 BTC [+] | [05:56] |
thestringpuller | I wouldn't pay money out on dividends for BITVPS. | [05:57] |
thestringpuller | You should put anything that would go as dividends into cash on hand, and invest. :P | [05:57] |
Namworld | ehrm... that's not the purpose of BitVPS | [06:01] |
* | malaimo has quit (Ping timeout: 276 seconds) | [06:02] |
* | malaimo (~malaimo@unaffiliated/malaimo) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [06:04] |
thestringpuller | Amazon it up yo | [06:06] |
thestringpuller | no? | [06:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 50 @ 0.002377 = 0.1189 BTC [-] | [06:07] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 61 @ 0.002199 = 0.1341 BTC [+] | [06:08] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 1 @ 0.002199 BTC [+] | [06:08] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 200 @ 0.002378 = 0.4756 BTC [+] | [06:10] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 220 @ 0.002199 = 0.4838 BTC [+] | [06:10] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 604 @ 0.002377 = 1.4357 BTC [-] | [06:11] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 328 @ 0.002199 = 0.7213 BTC [+] | [06:12] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 155 @ 0.0022 = 0.341 BTC [+] | [06:12] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 11 @ 0.040501 = 0.4455 BTC [-] | [06:13] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [GSDPT] 151 @ 0.002375 = 0.3586 BTC [+] | [06:13] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 10 @ 0.0405 = 0.405 BTC [-] | [06:13] |
* | [7] has quit (Disconnected by services) | [06:14] |
* | TheSeven (~quassel@rockbox/developer/TheSeven) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [06:14] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 5 @ 0.04041 = 0.2021 BTC [-] | [06:14] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 1 @ 0.0405 BTC [+] | [06:15] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 5 @ 0.040401 = 0.202 BTC [-] | [06:15] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 45 @ 0.040401 = 1.818 BTC [-] | [06:16] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 5 @ 0.0404 = 0.202 BTC [-] | [06:17] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 25 @ 0.040219 = 1.0055 BTC [-] | [06:17] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 12 @ 0.0401 = 0.4812 BTC [-] | [06:18] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 2 @ 0.041 = 0.082 BTC [+] | [06:18] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 8 @ 0.041 = 0.328 BTC [+] | [06:18] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 3 @ 0.04001 = 0.12 BTC [-] | [06:18] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 29 @ 0.041 = 1.189 BTC [+] | [06:20] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 57 @ 0.004689 = 0.2673 BTC [+] | [06:22] |
thestringpuller | !last m s.mpoe | [06:24] |
assbot | Last trade for S.MPOE on MPEX was at 0.00080091 BTC [-] | [06:24] |
thestringpuller | !help | [06:24] |
assbot | List of commands: | [06:24] |
assbot | !ticker |
[06:24] |
assbot | !last |
[06:24] |
assbot | !mp |
[06:24] |
assbot | !rules |
[06:24] |
assbot | !exchanges |
[06:24] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.135 BTC [-] | [06:27] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BTC-BOND] 5 @ 0.00995 = 0.0498 BTC [-] | [06:28] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 48 @ 0.004689 = 0.2251 BTC [+] | [06:28] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.13 BTC [-] | [06:28] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 82 @ 0.00469 = 0.3846 BTC [+] | [06:29] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 500 @ 0.00469 = 2.345 BTC [+] | [06:29] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 285 @ 0.0047 = 1.3395 BTC [+] | [06:30] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 70 @ 0.0047 = 0.329 BTC [+] | [06:30] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 1 @ 0.0047 BTC [+] | [06:30] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 2 @ 0.00469 = 0.0094 BTC [-] | [06:31] |
* | Now talking on #bitcoin-assets | [16:51] |
* | Topic for #bitcoin-assets is: http://bitcoin-assets.com || http://log.bitcoin-assets.com - most days worth reading, I heard. | [16:51] |
* | Topic for #bitcoin-assets set by kakobrekla!~kako@unaffiliated/kakobrekla at Tue May 14 16:38:49 2013 | [16:51] |
mircea_popescu | ;;ticker | [16:52] |
gribble | MtGox BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 69.00109, Best ask: 69.28796, Bid-ask spread: 0.28687, Last trade: 69.28797, 24 hour volume: 26550.16216519, 24 hour low: 66.60001, 24 hour high: 71.11212, 24 hour vwap: 68.67714 | [16:52] |
Namworld | Ah right... .bait | [16:53] |
Namworld | Ah, mircea. Withdrawals flush please | [16:54] |
mircea_popescu | aite | [16:57] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 2 @ 0.041157 = 0.0823 BTC [+] | [16:59] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.2 BTC [+] | [17:01] |
* | error4739 has quit (Ping timeout: 248 seconds) | [17:03] |
* | daybyter has quit (Quit: Konversation terminated!) | [17:06] |
mjrIII | hi | [17:11] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 3 @ 0.019594 = 0.0588 BTC [+] | [17:11] |
ThickAsThieves | Mornin | [17:12] |
mjrIII | how's it going | [17:12] |
mjrIII | i've been doing financial calculations all night and i am so confused | [17:12] |
Namworld | Thank you. | [17:12] |
Namworld | What kind of financial calculations, if I may ask? | [17:12] |
mjrIII | of course | [17:13] |
mjrIII | i am looking to delta hedge positions so i can sell options | [17:13] |
mjrIII | right now, the implied volatility of the options at the prices currently quoted is 300 | [17:13] |
mjrIII | while bitcoin is volatile, it isn't that volatile | [17:13] |
Namworld | The options have a big premium currently | [17:14] |
mjrIII | based on a few different calculations, i think the MAX volatility is 50 | [17:14] |
Namworld | I haven't traded options in a while | [17:14] |
mjrIII | me neither | [17:14] |
mjrIII | because of these huge premiums | [17:14] |
mjrIII | but, if i can sell options, at a much more lower price, i should be able to collect a decent amount of bitcoin | [17:15] |
mjrIII | and that would be where my delta hedging comes in | [17:15] |
mjrIII | but i am still working out the numbers | [17:15] |
mjrIII | if i sell a futures contract at the current price | [17:16] |
mjrIII | $68 let's say | [17:16] |
mjrIII | expiring at months end | [17:16] |
mjrIII | how covered am I if i sell an option that moves inversely | [17:17] |
mjrIII | for example, if i sell the future, i could sell a put | [17:17] |
mjrIII | since i profit from the future's contract if the price goes down, as long as my premium is at a certain price, i won't lose money in the total portfolio though i lose on the put, my future should hedge me | [17:18] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 18 @ 0.0406021 = 0.7308 BTC [-] | [17:18] |
mjrIII | it gets complicated when you start evaluating profits in btc vs profits in usd | [17:19] |
mjrIII | and also, since it is not possible to know how many bitcoins i would need as collateral, there is a little uncertainty in ROI | [17:20] |
mjrIII | and then there is the rolling forward return of the futures contract, which is extremely weird | [17:21] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 1 @ 0.041157 BTC [+] | [17:23] |
ThickAsThieves | Personally, I wouldn't buy or sell options right now | [17:24] |
emptyeddepended | where can i trade btc/usd futures? | [17:24] |
ThickAsThieves | not without a premium that would make them crap | [17:24] |
mjrIII | hmmm | [17:32] |
mjrIII | for example, i think the 68put is around .3 btc to buy | [17:32] |
mjrIII | what if i offered it at .15 | [17:32] |
mjrIII | curious as to interest levels | [17:33] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [COGNITIVE] 1 @ 0.300091 BTC [-] | [17:33] |
Namworld | I'll take them at 0.05 a piece | [17:35] |
ThickAsThieves | would you be selling these via mpex? | [17:35] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 1 @ 0.041157 BTC [+] | [17:35] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [COGNITIVE] 4 @ 0.30009 = 1.2004 BTC [-] | [17:35] |
ThickAsThieves | .05 is a bit too low | [17:38] |
mjrIII | yeah way too low | [17:38] |
mjrIII | and yeah, i'd be selling them via mpex | [17:39] |
ThickAsThieves | maybe .1ish would get you attention | [17:39] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BFMINES] 1000 @ 0.004 = 4 BTC [+] | [17:39] |
mjrIII | so...selling puts at .1 could be interesting | [17:39] |
Diablo-D3 | ;;ticker | [17:39] |
gribble | MtGox BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 69.48659, Best ask: 69.50000, Bid-ask spread: 0.01341, Last trade: 69.47957, 24 hour volume: 26399.30211272, 24 hour low: 66.60001, 24 hour high: 71.11212, 24 hour vwap: 68.68513 | [17:39] |
mjrIII | to figure out how hedged I am, i need to calculate the total value of my position over different prices btc/usd | [17:39] |
mjrIII | by the way, using my calculated volatility for bitcoin | [17:39] |
mjrIII | that put should cost around... .0466 btc | [17:41] |
mjrIII | which is probably why namworld said he'd be interesting in buying at .05 | [17:41] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 69 @ 0.0025 = 0.1725 BTC [+] | [17:41] |
mjrIII | by the way, to calculate the volatility, i looked at historical data over the last year | [17:42] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 1 @ 0.01859 BTC [-] | [17:42] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 65 @ 0.002525 = 0.1641 BTC [+] | [17:42] |
ThickAsThieves | meanwhile mpex is selling at 0.44439353 | [17:42] |
mjrIII | not only on a daily basis (much lower, but irrelevant for a monthly option) | [17:42] |
ThickAsThieves | what a deal! | [17:42] |
mjrIII | so i looked at the deviation from the mean for each closing month | [17:42] |
mjrIII | mean return that is | [17:43] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 15 @ 0.002535 = 0.038 BTC [+] | [17:43] |
mjrIII | and that is still around 23 | [17:43] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 18 @ 0.041979 = 0.7556 BTC [+] | [17:43] |
mjrIII | so i looked at the one month in which volatility was the greatest | [17:43] |
mjrIII | and that is 50 | [17:43] |
ThickAsThieves | mpex is also paying more than Nam | [17:43] |
ThickAsThieves | 0.05840584 | [17:43] |
mjrIII | lol | [17:43] |
Blastbob | sorry.. cant help myself | [17:44] |
Blastbob | .bait | [17:44] |
ozbot | http://25.media.tumblr.com/be4fc61fcb98d455e5c74c31a6aaedc0/tumblr_mgsuk7FnMh1r5cuu2o1_500.jpg | [17:44] |
mjrIII | well, given vol of 50, that option should cost $3 or so | [17:44] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 87 @ 0.002545 = 0.2214 BTC [+] | [17:44] |
ThickAsThieves | yknow you can pm ozbot | [17:44] |
ThickAsThieves | fap the day away | [17:44] |
Blastbob | :P | [17:44] |
Blastbob | perfect | [17:44] |
mjrIII | nice tats | [17:44] |
Scrat | spamming a bot for 1 pic at a time = worst way to fap | [17:45] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 230 @ 0.00255 = 0.5865 BTC [+] | [17:45] |
mjrIII | lol | [17:45] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 6 @ 0.00255 = 0.0153 BTC [+] | [17:45] |
Blastbob | its good teasing | [17:45] |
Blastbob | makes you smile | [17:45] |
ThickAsThieves | Scrat prefers high-speed slideshows | [17:45] |
mjrIII | is that not called a movie? | [17:45] |
ThickAsThieves | :) | [17:45] |
mjrIII | so anyway, i think that the options are really expensive, but it seems to be working for mp, so i understand why he wouldn't offer it cheaper | [17:46] |
mjrIII | but if i CAN, maybe i can make some money | [17:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 4.2 = 8.4 BTC [+] | [17:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 4.2 = 8.4 BTC [+] | [17:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.2 BTC [+] | [17:46] |
mjrIII | but i don't want to speculate on the rise and fall of btc prices, i just want to arbitrage | [17:46] |
ThickAsThieves | they aren't working for him currently | [17:47] |
mjrIII | are they not? | [17:47] |
ThickAsThieves | i think last month was his loiwest volume to date | [17:47] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 5 @ 0.041157 = 0.2058 BTC [+] | [17:47] |
mjrIII | oh, volume still seemed pretty high | [17:47] |
ThickAsThieves | this month not much better | [17:47] |
ThickAsThieves | i could be wrong | [17:47] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 4 @ 0.041 = 0.164 BTC [-] | [17:47] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 1 @ 0.041 BTC [-] | [17:47] |
Scrat | ThickAsThieves: http://i.qkme.me/Bb.jpg | [17:47] |
ThickAsThieves | lol | [17:47] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 10 @ 0.04198 = 0.4198 BTC [+] | [17:48] |
ThickAsThieves | ctril-tab, ctril-tab, ctril-tab, ctril-tab | [17:48] |
ThickAsThieves | ctrl* | [17:48] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 74 @ 0.0408 = 3.0192 BTC [-] | [17:48] |
mjrIII | 30 day volume is 71,000 btc... | [17:48] |
ThickAsThieves | mjrIII, http://polimedia.us/trilema/2013/mpoe-june-2013-statement/ | [17:48] |
ThickAsThieves | 278 contracts sold | [17:49] |
ThickAsThieves | in June | [17:49] |
ThickAsThieves | "One of the slowest option months in history." | [17:50] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 1 @ 0.004479 BTC [+] | [17:51] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 99 @ 0.00448 = 0.4435 BTC [+] | [17:51] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 5 @ 0.041169 = 0.2058 BTC [+] | [17:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 20 @ 0.04117 = 0.8234 BTC [+] | [17:52] |
* | asswatch has quit (Quit: Textual IRC Client: www.textualapp.com) | [17:53] |
CheckDavid | What is this channel about exactly? | [17:54] |
ThickAsThieves | bitcoin finance | [17:54] |
mjrIII | yeah ok, very low | [17:56] |
ThickAsThieves | I think if another month or two of low sales go by, he'll adjust | [17:57] |
mjrIII | well... | [17:57] |
kakobrekla | mjrIII! the legend, you in panama yet? | [17:57] |
CheckDavid | I was just confused by the lack of info on the website I guess | [17:57] |
mjrIII | he specifically said that because no one is going in the mid market, he is not adjusting | [17:57] |
mjrIII | so if i jump in, he might compete | [17:57] |
ThickAsThieves | most irc channels don't even have websites | [17:57] |
ThickAsThieves | right | [17:58] |
ThickAsThieves | mostly i've been too busy with other areas to fuss over options lately | [17:59] |
mjrIII | i just think that most people would be too scared to writeoptions | [17:59] |
Diablo-D3 | http://thenextweb.com/insider/2013/07/05/flattr-adds-support-for-funding-in-bitcoin-flirts-with-option-to-withdraw-in-the-virtual-currency-too/ | [17:59] |
ThickAsThieves | stressing over btc/usd was much less enjoyable than trading assets | [17:59] |
CheckDavid | ThickAsThieves, most websites don't even have irc channels ;) | [17:59] |
ThickAsThieves | well this is an IRC channel with a website | [18:00] |
* | darkee_ (~darkee@gateway/tor-sasl/darkee) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [18:06] |
* | darkee has quit (Remote host closed the connection) | [18:07] |
CheckDavid | I just can't interpret the syntax used by assbot | [18:08] |
emptyeddepended | [plattform] [symbol] amount @ price [sold/bought] | [18:09] |
emptyeddepended | = [price] xD | [18:09] |
emptyeddepended | ... | [18:09] |
emptyeddepended | u know what i mean | [18:09] |
emptyeddepended | i hope^^ | [18:09] |
* | Chilca (~Chilca@c-67-164-91-88.hsd1.ca.comcast.net) has joined #bitcoin-assets | [18:12] |
mircea_popescu | [18:12] | |
jurov | mjrIII, do you think this year's march and april won't happen anymore? | [18:13] |
mircea_popescu | the problem is exactly that. you can end up with 500k btc in liabilities. then what ? | [18:14] |
mircea_popescu | start thinking not from "o i could make some btc" perspective but fgrom the "how could i employ my btc" perspective. | [18:15] |
mircea_popescu | how much premium today would you want to give away your btc capital tomorrow ? | [18:15] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BFMINES] 500 @ 0.004 = 2 BTC [+] | [18:16] |
mircea_popescu | !ticker btct asicminer-pt | [18:17] |
assbot | [BTCT:ASICMINER-PT] 1D: 4.085 / 4.14438 / 4.29495 (124 shares, 513.9 BTC), 7D: 3.59001 / 4.52831 / 5.17 (5205 shares, 23569.9 BTC), 30D: 2.15 / 3.41124 / 5.17 (17701 shares, 60382.3 BTC) | [18:17] |
* | BTCOxygen has quit (Ping timeout: 252 seconds) | [18:17] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 1 @ 0.002545 BTC [-] | [18:20] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.139999 BTC [-] | [18:26] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 4 @ 4.13 = 16.52 BTC [-] | [18:26] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 5 @ 4.12 = 20.6 BTC [-] | [18:26] |
mjrIII | good points | [18:26] |
mjrIII | but my point is that when march and april happened, the vol was 50 | [18:27] |
mjrIII | the implied vol by these prices is 300 | [18:27] |
mjrIII | and my goal is to acquire bitcoin | [18:27] |
mjrIII | since i don't have much capital | [18:27] |
mjrIII | in btc | [18:27] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 1 @ 0.019548 BTC [+] | [18:28] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 1 @ 0.00448 BTC [+] | [18:29] |
mjrIII | so, if i can "employ my btc" by writing options and collecting premium, while doing it in a fully backed way (not exposed to the risk at the expense of some profits), then that seems like a great way to acquire more btc | [18:29] |
* | rulother has quit (Ping timeout: 276 seconds) | [18:29] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 2 @ 0.004481 = 0.009 BTC [+] | [18:30] |
mjrIII | and also, hopefully see more volume in options | [18:30] |
mjrIII | as i've said...the goal was not to speculate, the goal was to arbitrage | [18:31] |
mjrIII | mircea_popescu: does that not make sense? | [18:31] |
jurov | well, i did not understand how... you want to hedge by selling futures? | [18:32] |
mjrIII | yes | [18:32] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 1 @ 0.004481 BTC [+] | [18:32] |
mjrIII | so i can build in profits in either direction to offset losses by the options | [18:32] |
jurov | is there a market with matching liquidity/expiration time? | [18:32] |
mjrIII | not exactly | [18:32] |
mjrIII | although let's pretend there is | [18:32] |
mjrIII | after all | [18:33] |
mjrIII | i can find one person, and craft my own forward contract between me and him | [18:33] |
mjrIII | which does entail cp risk | [18:33] |
mjrIII | but let's say i am more comfortable with the cp risk than i am with the fx risk | [18:33] |
mjrIII | anyway, if i can for example, sell 10 btc at $68 at months end, and only have to put up 1 btc as collateral | [18:34] |
jurov | sry, what is cp risk? | [18:34] |
mjrIII | counter party | [18:34] |
jurov | ah | [18:34] |
mjrIII | so, i am effectively guaranteed to receive $68 per bitcoin at months end, up to 10 bitcoins | [18:34] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.04082 BTC [-] | [18:35] |
mjrIII | which means that my profit occurs if the price falls, i can sell at the higher price of my contract | [18:35] |
mjrIII | BUT if the price rises, i still have $680 dollars | [18:35] |
mjrIII | no matter what | [18:35] |
mjrIII | fewer bitcoins, but same dollar amount | [18:35] |
mjrIII | so that would be the future side | [18:36] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 20800 @ 0.00080532 = 16.7507 BTC [-] | [18:36] |
mjrIII | since with the future, i profit when price falls, i should be able to take risk in that direction | [18:36] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [COGNITIVE] 1 @ 0.300001 BTC [-] | [18:36] |
mjrIII | so i write a call | [18:36] |
mjrIII | sorry, write a put | [18:37] |
mjrIII | so now, due to the put, i lose money when price falls | [18:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 10 @ 0.002545 = 0.0255 BTC [-] | [18:37] |
mjrIII | but as the future profits on price falling, it should offset the loss from the put | [18:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 2 @ 0.002535 = 0.0051 BTC [-] | [18:37] |
mjrIII | if prices rise, i still collect premium, and futures gives me less btc, though same USD | [18:38] |
mjrIII | remember that i only put up one bitcoin for the future contract, though that allows me to hedge 10 bitcoins prices | [18:39] |
mjrIII | so i should be able to sell some number of puts (can't figure out how many without actually trying) | [18:39] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 26 @ 0.019547 = 0.5082 BTC [-] | [18:40] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 15 @ 0.019548 = 0.2932 BTC [+] | [18:40] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 219 @ 0.019549 = 4.2812 BTC [+] | [18:40] |
mjrIII | but the combined premium of that number of puts should more than offset any losses from the future contract if i can charge .15 btc per put | [18:41] |
mjrIII | that is what i mean by arbitraging the difference between the future and the option | [18:41] |
mjrIII | of course there are risks | [18:41] |
mjrIII | and its very complicated, depends on if you measure p&l in btc or USD (that is not as simple a decision as one might think) | [18:42] |
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assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.04198 BTC [+] | [18:43] |
mjrIII | so, i really don't know, all i know is that the implied vol of those prices is 6 times higher than the greatest vol i've observed in any given month | [18:43] |
mjrIII | meaning there should be signifigant profits in the middle (which no one has tried to take) if you can handle your risk | [18:44] |
mjrIII | this is simply math | [18:44] |
jurov | now you've lost me | [18:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 1 @ 0.002525 BTC [-] | [18:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 1 @ 0.0025 BTC [-] | [18:46] |
jurov | on "implied vol of those prices" | [18:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 15 @ 0.002405 = 0.0361 BTC [-] | [18:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 146 @ 0.002404 = 0.351 BTC [-] | [18:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 200 @ 0.002403 = 0.4806 BTC [-] | [18:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 400 @ 0.0024 = 0.96 BTC [-] | [18:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 300 @ 0.00239 = 0.717 BTC [-] | [18:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 338 @ 0.002377 = 0.8034 BTC [-] | [18:46] |
mjrIII | one of the largest factors in an options price is the volatility | [18:46] |
mjrIII | which is just a measure of how much it moves | [18:46] |
mjrIII | if you reverse engineer the prices being offered, for the underlying price and the strike price | [18:47] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [BASIC-MINING] 38 @ 0.187 = 7.106 BTC [+] | [18:47] |
mjrIII | you arrive at implied volatility, or what that person writing/pricing the option thinks the possible moves are | [18:47] |
mjrIII | at the current prices, that number is 300 | [18:48] |
jurov | oh yes, i somehow thought vol=volume and went derp | [18:48] |
mjrIII | by looking at historical data i can calculate the daily, monthly, yearly, etc volatilty | [18:48] |
mjrIII | and even in march and april and may, it never went above 50 | [18:48] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 3000 @ 0.00080532 = 2.416 BTC [-] | [18:49] |
mjrIII | meaning if i opened an options contract on the beginning of the month, the change would never have been sharper than volatility of 50 (that was the highest number i could make the spreadsheet give me) | [18:49] |
mjrIII | if you look at daily volatility, its around 11 i think | [18:49] |
mjrIII | and to calculate that, i took the "returns" on btc on options expiration days for the last 12 months | [18:50] |
mjrIII | then calculated their standard deviations from the average return | [18:51] |
mjrIII | which was much lower than 50 | [18:51] |
jurov | hmm, did you consider they are american style? | [18:51] |
mjrIII | yes...and that does make it harder to price | [18:51] |
mjrIII | typically you pay more of a premium for the increased optionality | [18:52] |
mjrIII | but not like 10x the price of the european option | [18:52] |
mjrIII | i haven't done the math perfectly | [18:52] |
mjrIII | or completely | [18:52] |
mjrIII | but if i do this as a thought experiment | [18:52] |
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assbot | [MPEX] [S.MG] 10000 @ 0.00017 = 1.7 BTC [+] | [18:53] |
mjrIII | there must be a scenario where the premium is not 33% of the underlying | [18:53] |
mjrIII | so, if the actual greatest volatility we have seen so far is 50, let's assume that is true | [18:56] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 3 @ 0.0406 = 0.1218 BTC [-] | [18:56] |
mjrIII | underlying premise and all that | [18:56] |
jurov | not sure if you're taking this from the right end | [18:57] |
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mjrIII | perhaps | [18:57] |
mjrIII | but given that vol is 50, and options are being priced at vol 300 | [18:57] |
mjrIII | there should be an arbitrage opportunity, i think that is self-evident, no? | [18:57] |
mjrIII | if the numbers are wrong, of course it wouldn't make sense | [18:58] |
mjrIII | but if that IS the case...does my hypothesis make sense? | [18:58] |
jurov | i'd rather try to consider btcusd as random walk and determine in which range it's going to stay with, 95% chance during the 1 or 2 months | [18:58] |
mjrIII | that is a good idea | [18:58] |
jurov | then use that price range as breakeven points for options | [18:58] |
mjrIII | well, that is what i am trying to do, in a way | [18:58] |
kakobrekla | such model will blow on extremes | [18:59] |
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mjrIII | i am basically trying to show returns for any given price between 40 and 130 | [18:59] |
jurov | ^ yes, someone called that fat tail events | [18:59] |
kakobrekla | yea | [18:59] |
mjrIII | and yes, it will | [18:59] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [RSM] 30 @ 0.016005 = 0.4802 BTC [+] | [18:59] |
mjrIII | depending on what you think of as extreme | [18:59] |
kakobrekla | btc is extreme compared to anything | [18:59] |
jurov | 300% increase in a month is extreme | [19:00] |
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mjrIII | yes true | [19:01] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 2 @ 0.019549 = 0.0391 BTC [+] | [19:02] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 30 @ 0.019549 = 0.5865 BTC [+] | [19:02] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 90 @ 0.019549 = 1.7594 BTC [+] | [19:02] |
ThickAsThieves | ;;estimate | [19:02] |
gribble | Next difficulty estimate | 25275743.691 based on data since last change | 24539552.1447 based on data for last three days | [19:02] |
mjrIII | yes, and for the month where the price tripled, that is where i calculated volatility of 50 | [19:04] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 6 @ 0.004466 = 0.0268 BTC [-] | [19:04] |
mjrIII | which was the highest vol for any month | [19:05] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.PURCHASE] 22 @ 0.048994 = 1.0779 BTC [-] | [19:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.MPOE-PT] 1 @ 0.00099 BTC [+] | [19:07] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 2 @ 0.34 = 0.68 BTC [-] | [19:07] |
mjrIII | i think | [19:07] |
mjrIII | and i arrive at vol by doing the following | [19:07] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 7 @ 0.040551 = 0.2839 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 3 @ 0.04055 = 0.1217 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 105 @ 0.04052 = 4.2546 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 40 @ 0.0405 = 1.62 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 20 @ 0.040202 = 0.804 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 67 @ 0.040162 = 2.6909 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 15 @ 0.04016 = 0.6024 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 44 @ 0.04015 = 1.7666 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 4 @ 0.04012 = 0.1605 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 10 @ 0.04005 = 0.4005 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 3 @ 0.04004 = 0.1201 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 59 @ 0.04002 = 2.3612 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
mjrIII | square root of the avg(difference from avg return for n periods)^2 | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 1 @ 0.004466 BTC [-] | [19:09] |
mjrIII | not sure if i wrote that correctly | [19:09] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 2 @ 0.004466 = 0.0089 BTC [-] | [19:10] |
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mjrIII | i'm gonna redo the numbers for every day in the last year | [19:13] |
mjrIII | see what i arrive at, brb | [19:13] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.PURCHASE] 132 @ 0.048994 = 6.4672 BTC [-] | [19:20] |
mjrIII | YTD i think daily historical vol is 120 | [19:23] |
mjrIII | which is much higher, but still not even half of 300 | [19:23] |
mjrIII | jurov: i think that is your random walk | [19:24] |
mjrIII | which should correspond to an option price of .11 | [19:25] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.04085 BTC [-] | [19:25] |
mjrIII | again, these are just using standardized finance tools, which i am not sure how well they apply | [19:26] |
mjrIII | but intuitively, while the bots options are fully backed, they are not hedged | [19:28] |
mjrIII | so if you wrote options while hedging you should be able to offer more efficient pricing i would imagine | [19:28] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.MINING] 1 @ 0.019548 BTC [-] | [19:31] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 3 @ 0.04092 = 0.1228 BTC [+] | [19:31] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 2 @ 0.004466 = 0.0089 BTC [-] | [19:32] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 11694 @ 0.00080625 = 9.4283 BTC [+] | [19:33] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 1 @ 0.0018 BTC [+] | [19:33] |
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jurov | mjrIII, with how much confidence you computed that? | [19:36] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.MPOE-PT] 1 @ 0.00099 BTC [+] | [19:36] |
jurov | or it implies that using volatility 120, the model should stay break-even over a long time? | [19:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 25 @ 0.004466 = 0.1117 BTC [-] | [19:37] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 25 @ 0.041789 = 1.0447 BTC [+] | [19:40] |
jurov | btw, to get the leverage for your futures, you need to pay interest... and that can eat considerable part of your profit | [19:40] |
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jurov | i did some rough estimates while trying to prop up MPBPT, and this haas been a problem, too | [19:43] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 5 @ 4.12 = 20.6 BTC [-] | [19:43] |
jurov | are you posting links or only comments? | [19:45] |
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jurov | prolly someone turned you in as a known troll | [19:48] |
jurov | :D | [19:49] |
mjrIII | jurov: it depends, confident enough to try a test program | [19:50] |
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mjrIII | and as far as i can see, no interest calculated on the futures | [19:51] |
mjrIII | i'm looking at icbit.se | [19:51] |
mjrIII | though the actual place i get a futures contract from is not relevant | [19:51] |
mjrIII | as i am pretty sure i can do futures with some businesses | [19:51] |
mjrIII | to help them | [19:51] |
mjrIII | but regardless | [19:52] |
jurov | well, if you can insure MPBPT with reasonable terms.. i'm all in | [19:52] |
mjrIII | nice lol | [19:52] |
mjrIII | that is what I eventually hope to have | [19:52] |
mjrIII | insurance services | [19:52] |
mjrIII | by the way, check out the current edition of the site | [19:52] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 6 @ 0.0018 = 0.0108 BTC [+] | [19:52] |
mjrIII | buttonwood_advanced.meteor.com | [19:53] |
mjrIII | i am refactoring and debugging the old site and adding it into the new site slowly | [19:53] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 1 @ 0.002478 BTC [+] | [19:53] |
mjrIII | and will launch this one at satoshisquare.com when it is ready | [19:53] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 3 @ 4.115 = 12.345 BTC [-] | [19:55] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 4 @ 4.11 = 16.44 BTC [-] | [19:56] |
mjrIII | but i basically have to put up .2 bitcoins as collateral to hedge one bitcoin | [19:56] |
mjrIII | then i collect hopefully .15 bitcoins as premium... | [19:57] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 3 @ 4.1 = 12.3 BTC [-] | [19:57] |
mjrIII | and let's for simplicity's sake say 1 bitcoin for mpex put | [19:57] |
mjrIII | maybe i should reverse them so i can know with certainty the collateral on the mpex side | [19:58] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 1 @ 0.004466 BTC [-] | [19:58] |
mjrIII | sell calls/buy futures | [19:58] |
CheckDavid | What are these quotes? | [20:01] |
mjrIII | CheckDavid: from assbot? | [20:01] |
CheckDavid | Yes | [20:01] |
mjrIII | the last one is a "print" from BTCTC for an asset called virtualmine | [20:02] |
CheckDavid | What defines that asset? | [20:02] |
mjrIII | 1 unit was transacted for .004 bitcoin | [20:02] |
mjrIII | the terms of its creator i suppose | [20:02] |
CheckDavid | Was it transacted on a specific exchange? | [20:02] |
CheckDavid | this is a bit confusing to me yet | [20:02] |
mjrIII | yes | [20:02] |
mjrIII | it was a print from btctc | [20:02] |
mjrIII | if i told you it was a print from nasdaq | [20:03] |
jurov | CheckDavid: BTCT is http://btct.co | [20:03] |
mjrIII | you would get it? | [20:03] |
mjrIII | the different exchanges publish market data | [20:03] |
mjrIII | or should i say broadcast might be more accurate | [20:03] |
CheckDavid | Maybe I would | [20:04] |
mjrIII | i was just curious | [20:04] |
mjrIII | what level of understanding of traditional finance you had | [20:04] |
mjrIII | so i could draw analogies for you | [20:04] |
CheckDavid | is BTCT like the NYSE? | [20:04] |
CheckDavid | or Nasdaq? | [20:04] |
CheckDavid | OH I see now | [20:04] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 63 @ 0.004466 = 0.2814 BTC [-] | [20:04] |
mjrIII | are you asking for a comparison of which one it is more similar to? | [20:04] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 9 @ 0.004467 = 0.0402 BTC [+] | [20:04] |
mjrIII | or are you asking if it is like either | [20:05] |
jurov | go there and make your own opinion | [20:05] |
CheckDavid | No, not a comparison of that sort | [20:05] |
mjrIII | it is an exchange | [20:05] |
mjrIII | like nyse and nasdaq are exchanges | [20:05] |
CheckDavid | I see. | [20:05] |
jurov | his is too broad question | [20:05] |
CheckDavid | How does a "company" or "business" register there? | [20:05] |
mjrIII | on mpex, you need to be vetted by mircea_popescu (good luck) | [20:05] |
CheckDavid | Ok ok, you all dominate thsi shit when you were born | [20:05] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 10 @ 0.004467 = 0.0447 BTC [+] | [20:05] |
CheckDavid | good, I didn't =_= | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 11 @ 0.002379 = 0.0262 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 9 @ 0.002378 = 0.0214 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 17 @ 0.002377 = 0.0404 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 5 @ 0.002365 = 0.0118 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 52 @ 0.002358 = 0.1226 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 50 @ 0.002355 = 0.1178 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 25 @ 0.00235 = 0.0588 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 18 @ 0.00235 = 0.0423 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 3 @ 0.00234 = 0.007 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 100 @ 0.00232 = 0.232 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
mjrIII | so, CheckDavid, you see those prints? | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 100 @ 0.0023 = 0.23 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 30 @ 0.0023 = 0.069 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 100 @ 0.00225 = 0.225 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 50 @ 0.0022 = 0.11 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 2460 @ 0.00215 = 5.289 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 50 @ 0.00215 = 0.1075 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 50 @ 0.00211 = 0.1055 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 975 @ 0.0021 = 2.0475 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 25 @ 0.00201 = 0.0503 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 10 @ 0.002002 = 0.02 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 20 @ 0.002001 = 0.04 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 200 @ 0.002001 = 0.4002 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
CheckDavid | mjrIII, these ones now? this flood? lol | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 3000 @ 0.002 = 6 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
mjrIII | that is an equity called s.dice-pt which is what they call a pass through | [20:06] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 20 @ 0.192999 = 3.86 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 45 @ 0.193 = 8.685 BTC [+] | [20:06] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 12 @ 0.1931 = 2.3172 BTC [+] | [20:06] |
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assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 3 @ 0.1936 = 0.5808 BTC [+] | [20:06] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [S.DICE-PT] 1000 @ 0.002 = 2 BTC [-] | [20:06] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 1 @ 0.1937 BTC [+] | [20:07] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 3 @ 0.1939 = 0.5817 BTC [+] | [20:07] |
jurov | CheckDavid, read this: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=125629.0 | [20:07] |
mjrIII | ChaangNoi: depends on what you think the point of equity markets are | [20:07] |
mjrIII | Chaang-Noi: i think of it as a place for businesses to sell equity in exchange for capital | [20:07] |
jurov | CheckDavid: if some parts are confusing, you'll still be able to ask better questions | [20:08] |
mjrIII | in which case, its fine, the businesses who sought capital got it | [20:08] |
mjrIII | secondary markets are not really important | [20:08] |
mjrIII | in the grand scheme of things | [20:08] |
Namworld | Good bunch of S.DICE trades | [20:08] |
mjrIII | that remains to be seen, i am confident in mpex | [20:08] |
jurov | sour grapes, goat? | [20:09] |
mjrIII | maybe | [20:09] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 7000 @ 0.00080625 = 5.6438 BTC [+] | [20:09] |
arij | mpex ded | [20:09] |
mjrIII | no | [20:09] |
Namworld | just-dice? What's so great about just-dice? | [20:09] |
arij | you can infest | [20:09] |
mjrIII | let's go to blockchain.info and see how many just-dice transactions vs s.dice transactions happen | [20:09] |
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pankkake | it's off-chain. | [20:09] |
mjrIII | completely? | [20:10] |
mjrIII | i thought just-dice gave you both options | [20:10] |
mjrIII | and i think erik is pretty well trusted | [20:10] |
pankkake | no, but I doubt you can see the in/outs, and it would not provide any useful info | [20:10] |
mjrIII | well... | [20:10] |
mjrIII | i do see the transactions for s.dice | [20:10] |
Namworld | Blah... coinroll all the way... same thing but came earlier. | [20:11] |
mjrIII | as if there weren't s.dice clones in the past | [20:11] |
pankkake | the advantage of satoshi dice, as a gambler, is that the btc go back (or not) to your account quickly. you don't have to put much trust in the operator | [20:11] |
pankkake | as an investor, it's all the same really | [20:11] |
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pankkake | and it's much more convenient on just-dice | [20:12] |
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mjrIII | pankkake: well, as an investory, whichever is more appealing to the consumer is the one i'd rather invest in | [20:12] |
mjrIII | Chaang-Noi: in what way? | [20:12] |
pankkake | just-dice has no fees at each gamble, has immediate results, it's better in almost every way | [20:12] |
mjrIII | are you referring to when he released 3% more of the company | [20:13] |
Namworld | pankkake, so does Coinroll, PrimeDice and plenty others which were there before just-dice or these... | [20:13] |
mjrIII | Chaang-Noi: omg, you really don't understand s.dice huh | [20:13] |
mjrIII | its a bitcoin blockchain transaction, how exactly does one block anyone? | [20:13] |
jurov | mjrIII, but erik really did that, or tried to | [20:14] |
mjrIII | oh, the website that is irrelevant to the actual game | [20:14] |
mjrIII | oh no | [20:14] |
mjrIII | i can't look at the list of addresses on that website | [20:14] |
mjrIII | i have | [20:14] |
jurov | it really seems like it's a liability for evoor | [20:14] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 9 @ 4.1 = 36.9 BTC [-] | [20:14] |
mjrIII | i disagree | [20:14] |
mjrIII | does blockchain still offer that list? | [20:14] |
Namworld | blockchain still direct link SD for its user | [20:15] |
jurov | mjrIII it's not about game itself, that's bulletproof. it's about the owner | [20:15] |
Namworld | Major source of gambling for SD | [20:15] |
Namworld | and apparently does it "for free" | [20:15] |
Namworld | But of course, won't put other website there other than the SD option. | [20:16] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 4.08 = 8.16 BTC [-] | [20:16] |
mjrIII | there you go | [20:17] |
mjrIII | i would argue that more people learn about s.dice because they use blockchain than because they stumbled upon the site | [20:17] |
mjrIII | and that isn't blocked | [20:17] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 3 @ 4.06133 = 12.184 BTC [-] | [20:17] |
mjrIII | so, the whole OMG they blocked the website from US Users was silly from the perspective of someone who understands how s.dice works | [20:17] |
jurov | mjrIII how many users do understand? | [20:18] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.0613 BTC [-] | [20:18] |
mjrIII | or just send it straight from blockchain | [20:18] |
mjrIII | my point is that almost everyone uses blockchain | [20:19] |
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assbot | [BTCTC] [AMC-PT] 1 @ 0.0018 BTC [+] | [20:19] |
mjrIII | so you are more likely to be exposed to s.dice via blockchain than by going to their site | [20:19] |
mjrIII | and no, i hold no equities at the moment | [20:19] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 9 @ 0.04198 = 0.3778 BTC [+] | [20:19] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 10 @ 0.04198699 = 0.4199 BTC [+] | [20:19] |
mjrIII | but s.dice's .28 P/E ratio is quite tempting | [20:19] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 3 @ 0.042 = 0.126 BTC [+] | [20:19] |
Namworld | I hold equity in more than one dice websites. | [20:19] |
jurov | okay, and would that stay forever? is there any known agreement between blockchain and sdice? | [20:20] |
Namworld | Most are here to stay. | [20:20] |
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jurov | mjrIII and what do you say to the fact that evoorhees intrduces himself as Coinapult CEO, not mentioning SatoshiDice much? | [20:21] |
jurov | even if coinapult is much smaller operation | [20:22] |
arij | so | [20:22] |
mjrIII | 648.55972400843 that is june's div for s.dice | [20:22] |
arij | is there something wrong with that/ | [20:22] |
mjrIII | that is a positive number i believe | [20:22] |
mjrIII | and that is 13% of their total profit | [20:22] |
mjrIII | so... | [20:22] |
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mjrIII | ;;calc (648.55972400843 * 100)/13 | [20:24] |
gribble | 4988.92095391 | [20:24] |
jurov | mjrIII of course it's good.. but company isn't numbers. company is people | [20:24] |
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Namworld | Just look at the per share dividend. Does it match 100% profit divided by 100 million shares? Always | [20:24] |
mjrIII | did justdice make 5k bitcoins last month | [20:24] |
Namworld | No | [20:24] |
furuknap | ;;ticker | [20:24] |
gribble | MtGox BTCUSD ticker | Best bid: 71.22500, Best ask: 71.24000, Bid-ask spread: 0.01500, Last trade: 71.22501, 24 hour volume: 31145.86411387, 24 hour low: 66.60001, 24 hour high: 71.61334, 24 hour vwap: 69.02590 | [20:24] |
Namworld | It made 755.67132996 so far, apparently | [20:25] |
furuknap | ;;bcstats | [20:25] |
furuknap | ;;nethash | [20:25] |
gribble | Current Blocks: 245330 | Current Difficulty: 2.1335329113983E7 | Next Difficulty At Block: 245951 | Next Difficulty In: 621 blocks | Next Difficulty In About: 3 days, 6 hours, 26 minutes, and 31 seconds | Next Difficulty Estimate: 25440669.41 | Estimated Percent Change: 19.24198 | [20:25] |
gribble | 175663.636948 | [20:25] |
mjrIII | Namworld: do they not match? net profit/total shares doesn't add up? | [20:26] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 100 @ 0.030989 = 3.0989 BTC [+] | [20:26] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 40 @ 0.03099 = 1.2396 BTC [+] | [20:26] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 49 @ 0.031 = 1.519 BTC [+] | [20:26] |
mjrIII | anyway, for a company that is doing so bad, to have 8X the revenue of your paradigm of the "best" site says that the market doesn't think just-dice is the best | [20:27] |
mjrIII | and that s.dice is still doing just fine | [20:27] |
mjrIII | jurov: and what did you mean about the people, i trust erik more than almost everyone in btc | [20:27] |
mjrIII | i would say the relative "risk-free" people in btc are you, mp, erik, kako | [20:28] |
mjrIII | maybe namworld and smickles too | [20:28] |
mjrIII | maybe a few oters | [20:28] |
jurov | ;;seen smickles | [20:28] |
gribble | smickles was last seen in #bitcoin-assets 13 weeks, 3 days, 1 hour, 46 minutes, and 19 seconds ago: |
[20:28] |
mjrIII | others | [20:28] |
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mjrIII | lol that was a conversation i was having with him lol | [20:29] |
mjrIII | Chaang-Noi: anyway, profit of 5k bitcoins last month pretty much says everything i need to say about s.dice as a company | [20:29] |
mjrIII | with no US website, they did 800% of what just-dice did | [20:30] |
mjrIII | and I think just-dice is great | [20:30] |
jurov | as i said, erik is trustworthy but he seems to consider sdice a liability | [20:30] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 13 @ 0.31002215 = 4.0303 BTC [-] | [20:30] |
mjrIII | jurov: he def does i think | [20:30] |
mjrIII | and is exploring how to protect the company and himself, as he should | [20:30] |
mjrIII | but at the end of the day, there are few companies in btc space who can claim to have made 5k bitcoins, much less 5k in one month | [20:31] |
mjrIII | probably count them on both hands i am guessing (ones that are still around at least) | [20:31] |
jurov | pirate did | [20:31] |
mjrIII | yes | [20:31] |
jurov | =D | [20:31] |
mjrIII | of course | [20:31] |
mjrIII | i'm sure glbse must have to | [20:32] |
mjrIII | and mt gox makes more than that i'd bet | [20:32] |
mjrIII | mpex i'm sure also has done that | [20:32] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 2 @ 0.041599 = 0.0832 BTC [-] | [20:32] |
mjrIII | but, think about this just from a fundamentals perspective | [20:32] |
mjrIII | they had expenses of 167 bitcoin last month | [20:32] |
mjrIII | to make 5k bitcoin | [20:32] |
mjrIII | that is the most ridiculous number i've ever seen in my life for a profit margin | [20:33] |
jurov | yes,. let's try fundamentals. did you read mircea's recent accounting stuff implying that since assets are iuner full control of owner/management anyway, they need not to be reported? | [20:33] |
jurov | *under full control | [20:33] |
mjrIII | what do you mean? | [20:34] |
mjrIII | is this referring to the private placement? | [20:34] |
jurov | lemme dig it up | [20:34] |
mjrIII | um...tiberslav is very bearish... | [20:34] |
mjrIII | and yes, i know about luck | [20:34] |
jurov | this and following comments: http://polimedia.us/trilema/2013/accounting-for-the-nonzero-asset-corporation-the-mpex-standard/#comment-93803 | [20:35] |
mjrIII | but it isn't luck when it happens, oh and by the way, that 5k was AFTER taking the loss from last month | [20:35] |
jurov | and s.dice is considered "zero assets company" afaik | [20:35] |
ThickAsThieves | tubby hates sdice | [20:35] |
ThickAsThieves | tibby* | [20:35] |
jurov | for me that implies that personal integrity of the owner is more important than in meatspace where everything is reported | [20:35] |
mjrIII | so they got lucky and made 5k instead of their expected 3k | [20:35] |
jurov | and evoorhees has his problems with it | [20:36] |
ThickAsThieves | goat, mjr is the buttonwood satoshi square guy• | [20:36] |
ThickAsThieves | tiberius is a useless know it all | [20:37] |
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ThickAsThieves | mjr is cool is all im saying | [20:37] |
mjrIII | jurov: yes, there is little recourse in case of fraud | [20:37] |
mjrIII | ThickAsThieves: lol | [20:37] |
mjrIII | thanks | [20:37] |
ThickAsThieves | he does shit n shit | [20:37] |
mjrIII | jurov: but my point is that erik is trusted, so mgmt counts for a lot | [20:38] |
ThickAsThieves | yes | [20:38] |
mjrIII | so when you aggregate trusted mgmt, ridiculous profit margins, low share price, and great market share | [20:38] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 10 @ 0.004597 = 0.046 BTC [+] | [20:38] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 9 @ 0.0047 = 0.0423 BTC [+] | [20:38] |
mjrIII | you have a strong buy IMO | [20:38] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 299 @ 0.0047 = 1.4053 BTC [+] | [20:38] |
mjrIII | i'm not advising people to buy | [20:38] |
mjrIII | but i honestly don't understand why it is valued so low | [20:38] |
jurov | he doesn't stand up to the trust | [20:39] |
mjrIII | jurov: what do you mean? | [20:39] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [COGNITIVE] 3 @ 0.324776 = 0.9743 BTC [+] | [20:39] |
mjrIII | i chalk it up to retards like you... | [20:39] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.SELLING] 1 @ 0.031 BTC [+] | [20:39] |
jurov | mjrIII if he was interested to maintain his trust, he would announce shit in advance | [20:40] |
mjrIII | not always the case, IMO | [20:40] |
mjrIII | what did he do that he didn't announce? | [20:40] |
jurov | that s.dice has no own betting pool | [20:40] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 100 @ 0.0047 = 0.47 BTC [+] | [20:41] |
ThickAsThieves | goat why are u even starting shit we all know sdice can both not live up to its potential and look like decent investment at the same time | [20:41] |
ThickAsThieves | it's ok to try and be objective | [20:41] |
ThickAsThieves | doesnt make someone a troll or idiot | [20:41] |
mjrIII | Chaang-Noi: i am saying, that if you look at a stock, and see a P/E ratio of .28 or whatever, and then see that they have huge market share, as well as very low expenses to profit ratio, what would you think | [20:42] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [SDICE] 2 @ 0.17831404 = 0.3566 BTC [-] | [20:42] |
mjrIII | i'm not talking about s.dice, i am saying any company | [20:42] |
mjrIII | P/E is a measure over time | [20:43] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 1 @ 0.31002215 BTC [-] | [20:43] |
mjrIII | how long will it take to get the returns to cover the cost i paid for the stock | [20:43] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [ASICM] 1 @ 0.0444 BTC [+] | [20:43] |
jurov | mjrIII: i am saying, that if you look at a stock where mgmt suddenly claims it's 6k in debt and it will be paid from next dividend, what would you think | [20:43] |
mjrIII | difference between in debt, and taking a loss for the month | [20:44] |
mjrIII | only profits should be distributed, not losses? | [20:44] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.ASICMINER] 7 @ 0.041599 = 0.2912 BTC [-] | [20:44] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [TAT.VIRTUALMINE] 7 @ 0.0047 = 0.0329 BTC [+] | [20:44] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [DMS.PURCHASE] 64 @ 0.048994 = 3.1356 BTC [-] | [20:44] |
jurov | mjrIII no it was not caused by normal dice losses | [20:45] |
Namworld | Considering expectation of ~4000 satoshi per month on average, at 0.002 BTC per S.DICE, 50 months. | [20:45] |
Namworld | Gambling amounts will probably go back up with BTC price drop however. | [20:45] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.1 BTC [+] | [20:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 1 @ 4.0613 BTC [-] | [20:46] |
assbot | [BTCTC] [ASICMINER-PT] 2 @ 4.06 = 8.12 BTC [-] | [20:46] |
jurov | mjrIII this, pls read: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=101902.msg2452138#msg2452138 | [20:46] |
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mjrIII | whatever | [20:48] |
mjrIII | still don't see the issue | [20:48] |
mjrIII | he provided interest free loan | [20:48] |
mjrIII | and now doesn't want to | [20:48] |
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jurov | rly? i give up then | [20:49] |
mjrIII | he could have just listed "operations capital" as an expense of 4k and then showed profit of 1k if he wanted | [20:49] |
mjrIII | whatever | [20:49] |
mjrIII | historically, it seems to me that S.DICE has paid out quite a bit in dividends | [20:50] |
mjrIII | they still have great market share | [20:50] |
mjrIII | and low expenses | [20:50] |
mjrIII | that is my only point | [20:50] |
jurov | ic, it's too big to fail | [20:50] |
mjrIII | do you disagree with any of those points | [20:50] |
ThickAsThieves | ... | [20:50] |
mjrIII | i am not looking for investment advice | [20:51] |
mjrIII | and don't really like playing with equitities in a market filled with retards | [20:51] |
mjrIII | no, i am asking you a simple question | [20:51] |
assbot | [HAVELOCK] [HIM] 6 @ 0.31002215 = 1.8601 BTC [-] | [20:51] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 13450 @ 0.00080532 = 10.8316 BTC [-] | [20:51] |
mjrIII | has s.dice a) paid out a decent sized amount of dividends over their lifetime b) maintain a large market share c) have low expenses for the amount of profit they generate | [20:52] |
jurov | mjrIII, i already told you i agree. and no need to argue with goat | [20:52] |
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mjrIII | Chaang-Noi: and i wasn't directing that at you per se | [20:52] |
mjrIII | i'm saying that most people in this space have no idea what they are doing | [20:52] |
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jurov | yes, including evoor, sadly. | [20:52] |
assbot | [MPEX] [S.MPOE] 2350 @ 0.00080039 = 1.8809 BTC [-] | [20:52] |
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mjrIII | so, i personally don't like assets | [20:53] |
mjrIII | equities | [20:53] |
mjrIII | i am looking for more arbitrage stuff | [20:53] |
mjrIII | i'll defend whatever i please | [20:53] |
mjrIII | but i never said i didn't like it, i guess my sentiment is that i wish more mature investors saw this equity | [20:54] |
mjrIII | and valued it appropriately | [20:54] |
mjrIII | well...that is an interesting question | [20:54] |
jurov | now tell me what does mature investor say about such liabilities disclosed in last minute? | [20:54] |
mjrIII | monday as always | [20:54] |
mjrIII | that is the thing | [20:55] |
jurov | with such poor wording | [20:55] |
mjrIII | jurov: i totally agree | [20:55] |
mjrIII | same issue as when he dumped 3% more on the market | [20:55] |
mjrIII | and people got all pissed | [20:55] |
mjrIII | im not saying its ran perfectlhy | [20:55] |
mjrIII | or even great | [20:55] |
mjrIII | just saying that the numbers speak for themselves...if you bought their IPO would you be happy or sad right now? | [20:56] |
mjrIII | yes, enough talk of s.dice | [20:56] |
mjrIII | as i was saying | [20:56] |
mjrIII | EVR has been wanting me to move the exchange to EVR | [20:57] |
mjrIII | and it makes a lot of sense | [20:57] |
mjrIII | WiFi, electricity, food and drink and private space, and shelter from inclement weather | [20:57] |
mjrIII | it is the lounge which accepts bitcoin | [20:57] |
mjrIII | charlie shrem is part owner | [20:57] |
mjrIII | Chaang-Noi: not everyone lives by CME/CBOE | [20:58] |
mjrIII | so, i think we will be moving there | [20:58] |
mjrIII | and then launching another day for the park | [20:58] |
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mjrIII | lol, it is where most options come from | [20:58] |
mjrIII | and almost all commodities (US at least) | [20:58] |
mjrIII | chicago mercantile exchange | [20:59] |
mjrIII | i work in finance, but not a trader | [21:00] |
mjrIII | and i def don't live in chicago | [21:00] |
Category: Logs